@amitisinvesting@TSLAFanMtl SpaceX is an anomaly in the matrix.
See original
@TSLAFanMtl SpaceX is an anomaly in the matrix
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
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SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp.SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.), listed on Nasdaq on June 12, 2026Earnings 10/20Clear split
Stance mix of tracked accounts 28 accounts mentioned it · latest post counts
BullishNeutralNo stanceBearish
Bullish
1
Neutral
0
No stance
26
Bearish
1
Consensus and splits Reasons (analyst tagged) and views from the past 14 days
Bull case
- 2Catalyst
- 1Fundamentals
@elonmusk: @TSLAFanMtl SpaceX is an anomaly in the matrix.
@firstadopter: Depending on timing, this could be MATERIALLY higher than the 1.3 gigawatts for 2027 number given on the Broadcom earnings call.
WSJ: "The new Broadcom financing for OpenAI could include several gigawatts of OpenAI chip capacity, one of the people familiar with the discussions said. The deal is expected to close before the end of the year." https://www.wsj.com/tech/oracle-broadcom-and-spacex-seek-blockbuster-debt-deals-to-pay-for-ai-chips-848e8032
@KobeissiLetter: BREAKING: SpaceX, $SPCX, is in talks with banks and investors to raise $40 billion of debt to buy chips from Nvidia amid "insatiable demand" among AI developers, per Bloomberg.
The company is seeking to raise about $10 billion in bank loans and $30 billion in investment-grade debt to pay for the chips.
The AI Revolution is even stronger than most people realize.
Bear case
- 1Fundamentals
@GerberKawasaki: @GerberKawasaki: SpaceX has given the EU and others a huge incentive to build a competitor to Starlink and SpaceX. $SPCX
Clear split. Accounts are on both sides; see the two columns above for where they differ.
Current views Each account’s latest stance and reasoning; change is vs that account’s previous call
Bullish First call
Fundamentals · Long term · @TSLAFanMtl SpaceX is an anomaly in the matrix.
2026-10-18 13:06 HKT Original post ↗
Daymond John 
@TheSharkDaymondViews ›
@TheSharkDaymondViews ›No stance
Fundamentals · Long term · Daymond John (@TheSharkDaymond) argues that attention follows CEOs with great products who know how to brand themselves. Example: in 2025 @teslamotors stock dropped due to @elonmusk controversy; he advised looking beyond headlines for wealth-building opportunities. Now focus is on the new Tesla Roadster, generating billions in free media. He holds Tesla and SpaceX and feels more confident about their future. Compares to Steve Jobs at Apple launches and Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway. Stresses that great products plus trusted leadership create long-term value, which is the mission of CEO Access.
@TheSharkDaymond) argues that attention follows CEOs with great products who know how to brand themselves. Example: in 2025 @teslamotors stock dropped due to @elonmusk controversy; he advised looking beyond headlines for wealth-building opportunities. Now focus is on the new Tesla Roadster, generating billions in free media. He holds Tesla and SpaceX and feels more confident about their future. Compares to Steve Jobs at Apple launches and Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway. Stresses that great products plus trusted leadership create long-term value, which is the mission of CEO Access.2026-10-18 11:10 HKT Original post ↗
TrendSpider 
@TrendSpiderViews ›
@TrendSpiderViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · $SPCX can't pick a direction but @Polymarket is already planning the wedding. $TSLA
2026-10-18 07:00 HKT Original post ↗
Shay Boloor 
@StockSavvyShayViews ›
@StockSavvyShayViews ›No stance
Fundamentals · Long term · $SPCX Starlink Mobile projected to reach ~$65B revenue by 2031 with just 8% of global mobile market implying ~$800B opportunity beyond rural satellite coverage. Starship enables each V2 Mobile launch to support ~60x more users than Falcon 9 with V1, allowing faster scaling. This reinforces how early the $ASTS opportunity is with carrier partnerships accessing ~3B potential subscribers in a market large enough for both.
2026-10-18 05:45 HKT Original post ↗
Anthony Pompliano 
@APomplianoViews ›
@APomplianoViews ›No stance
Catalyst · Medium term · @APompliano thinks Elon Musk should and will merge Tesla and SpaceX within two years; if so, $TSLA could run as speculators price in $SPCX paying a premium.
@APompliano thinks Elon Musk should and will merge Tesla and SpaceX within two years; if so, $TSLA could run as speculators price in $SPCX paying a premium.2026-10-18 04:55 HKT Original post ↗
Charlie Bilello 
@charliebilelloViews ›
@charliebilelloViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · @charliebilello % below all time high: Apple 0%, S&P 500 -2%, Microsoft -4%, Meta -11%, Nvidia -12%, Palantir -12%, Amazon -13%, Google -17%, AMD -20%, gold -26%, Tesla -29%, SpaceX -36%, Bitcoin -36%, Netflix -47%, Ethereum -52%.
@charliebilello % below all time high: Apple 0%, S&P 500 -2%, Microsoft -4%, Meta -11%, Nvidia -12%, Palantir -12%, Amazon -13%, Google -17%, AMD -20%, gold -26%, Tesla -29%, SpaceX -36%, Bitcoin -36%, Netflix -47%, Ethereum -52%.2026-10-18 01:00 HKT Original post ↗
Kevin O'Leary 
@kevinolearytvViews ›
@kevinolearytvViews ›No stance
Fundamentals · @kevinolearytv on Tesla's flying car: permitting is a big challenge, but the technology is getting there and could matter for metro areas. $TSLA
@kevinolearytv on Tesla's flying car: permitting is a big challenge, but the technology is getting there and could matter for metro areas. $TSLA2026-10-18 00:37 HKT Original post ↗
Ross Gerber @GerberKawasakiViews ›
@GerberKawasakiViews ›Bearish First call
Fundamentals · Long term · @GerberKawasaki: SpaceX has given the EU and others a huge incentive to build a competitor to Starlink and SpaceX. $SPCX
@GerberKawasaki: SpaceX has given the EU and others a huge incentive to build a competitor to Starlink and SpaceX. $SPCX2026-10-17 23:54 HKT Original post ↗
Ryan Detrick, CMT 
@RyanDetrickViews ›
@RyanDetrickViews ›No stance
Sentiment · Short term · @RyanDetrick shares 5 year CDS spreads on $ORCL, $SPCX and $CRWV, which is why worry is building on AI.
@RyanDetrick shares 5 year CDS spreads on $ORCL, $SPCX and $CRWV, which is why worry is building on AI.2026-10-17 21:50 HKT Original post ↗
Jon Najarian 
@jonnajarianViews ›
@jonnajarianViews ›No stance
Sentiment · Medium term · I can't wait to get mine! $TSLA $SPCX
2026-10-17 18:57 HKT Original post ↗
Gary Black 
@garyblack00Views ›
@garyblack00Views ›No stance
Catalyst · Medium term · Agrees that the sole purpose of last night’s Roadster event was to make the case for a $SPCX-$TSLA merger. Guesses announcement in next few weeks of $SPCX buying $TSLA for $420/share in SPCX stock; deal could take a year to close.
2026-10-17 06:54 HKT Original post ↗
No stance
Basis not tagged · Scott Redler’s #630club live premarket stock market update covering $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK.
2026-10-16 18:31 HKT Original post ↗
Gene Munster 
@munster_geneViews ›
@munster_geneViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · Two takeaways from tonight’s Roadster event. 1. Engineering flex with no commercial value beyond embarrassing traditional car makers. 2. Elon can’t wait to bring $TSLA and $SPCX together.
2026-10-16 09:32 HKT Original post ↗
Bill Ackman 
@BillAckmanViews ›
@BillAckmanViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · (Reposted by @BillAckman) @brivael argues Bernie Sanders' claim that the top 1% owns more than the bottom 93% is a seductive but wrong argument, since wealth distribution always follows a power law.
@BillAckman) @brivael argues Bernie Sanders' claim that the top 1% owns more than the bottom 93% is a seductive but wrong argument, since wealth distribution always follows a power law.2026-10-15 18:33 HKT Original post ↗
Serenity 
@aleabitoredditViews ›
@aleabitoredditViews ›No stance
Sentiment · Interesting to see Elon interacting with finance X accounts. Amplifying $CRWV financing concerns, Chinese memory flooding, to AI investors being gamblers recently. With $SPCX and $TSLA, Elon is a visionary but amplifying concerns about competitors makes their financing more difficult as a self-fulfilling prophecy. Multiple posts about Chinese memory flooding after calling Samsung/SK Hynix pricing extortion harms these supplier valuations. Economic incentives probably benefit Tesla/SpaceX more in the long run even if everything goes down together. Merit to concerns about Coreweave debt interest + rate hikes. Nuances of "No crying in a Casino" when $AVGO CEO comments were regarding OpenAI ARR datapoints were missed. Can throw rocks at others when a glass house is propped up by passive index flows.
2026-10-15 14:15 HKT Original post ↗
CtheLightTrading 
@canuck2usaViews ›
@canuck2usaViews ›No stance
Catalyst · Short term · @canuck2usa: Barclays says a Tesla SpaceX merger announcement is possible before December.
@canuck2usa: Barclays says a Tesla SpaceX merger announcement is possible before December.2026-10-15 12:11 HKT Original post ↗
Michael Sikand 
@michaelsikandViews ›
@michaelsikandViews ›No stance
Fundamentals · Really nasty day for favorite AI stocks with levels unseen since July. Important to understand incentives of those creating fear. Chamath post links to paywalled article. Elon commenting yikes because $CRWV is primary competitor to $SPCX. Truth: vast majority of $CRWV capital structure is secured contract-backed facilities priced off offtake quality and GPU collateral. Only ~10% unsecured that might trade at 15%. These 15% yields alarm for future unsecured but focused on mid single digit contract-backed loans, not major red flag to the buildout.
2026-10-15 02:11 HKT Original post ↗
No stance
Fundamentals · Medium term · Hard to imagine the neocloud Nvidia has been supporting couldn't access capital at a reasonable price; bonds selling off badly suggests someone knows something. $SPCX debt also an issue amid competition for capital from general corporate debt.
2026-10-14 08:30 HKT Original post ↗
Carl Quintanilla 
@carlquintanillaViews ›
@carlquintanillaViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · (Reposted by @carlquintanilla) 
@andrewrsorkin announces the Nov 18 DealBook Summit lineup, including JD Vance, Mark Carney, Sam Altman, Christine Lagarde, Elon Musk, Satya Nadella and Nasdaq's Adena Friedman.
@carlquintanilla) @andrewrsorkin announces the Nov 18 DealBook Summit lineup, including JD Vance, Mark Carney, Sam Altman, Christine Lagarde, Elon Musk, Satya Nadella and Nasdaq's Adena Friedman.2026-10-13 19:59 HKT Original post ↗
川沐｜Trumoo🐮 
@xiaomustockViews ›
@xiaomustockViews ›No stance
Sentiment · The author says US stocks also need to maintain the index and just bought some $NVDA and $INTW, but is afraid to buy $SPCX and others due to fear of continued declines.
2026-10-13 11:50 HKT Original post ↗
Nathan Michaud 
@InvestorsLiveViews ›
@InvestorsLiveViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · $MU $SNDK $BE $NBIS $NVDA etc. Wonders if this is like the cash raise prior to $SPCX in the weeks leading into Anthropic getting cash ready.
2026-10-12 22:14 HKT Original post ↗
Jim Bianco 
@biancoresearchViews ›
@biancoresearchViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · Replying to @TevisDonny, @biancoresearch says they were given a list and notes that $SPCX is not in the $SPX. No further market view or specific stock analysis.
@biancoresearch says they were given a list and notes that $SPCX is not in the $SPX. No further market view or specific stock analysis.2026-10-12 18:14 HKT Original post ↗
Holger Zschaepitz 
@SchuldensuehnerViews ›
@SchuldensuehnerViews ›No stance
Macro · The AI boom is becoming a debt boom and credit markets are getting nervous. Oracle’s 5y CDS trades near a record 261bps, implying a 20.4% default probability. SpaceX: 16.5%. Even Nvidia: >7%. AI-related borrowers have issued nearly $500bn of debt this year, Bloomberg reports. The question: how much future AI revenue is already being spent?
2026-10-10 08:06 HKT Original post ↗
Sawyer Merritt 
@SawyerMerrittViews ›
@SawyerMerrittViews ›No stance
Basis not tagged · T-Mobile CTO in new post on 
@SpaceX acquiring nationwide low-band spectrum to help turn Starlink into a major U.S. mobile carrier:
"Some are calling it the "last critical piece" needed to compete with the national wireless carriers. I can tell you there's a big difference between owning spectrum and delivering a great mobile experience to millions of customers.
A few things worth keeping in perspective:
1) Spectrum is just the starting point.
The Grain transaction involves approximately 14 MHz of spectrum that T-Mobile previously divested because it was no longer central to our network strategy. Even with this acquisition, @Starlink Mobile would have roughly 80 MHz of spectrum, some of it uplink-only. Compare that to T-Mobile's nearly 400 MHz of mid-band and low-band spectrum holdings.
We used 800 MHz spectrum as a single 5 MHz uplink/5 MHz downlink channel for LTE years ago. Today, we're operating a nationwide 5G Standalone network, launched nationwide 5G-Advanced, and are already helping shape the path to 6G, all using channels that are much wider. The industry has moved forward and so have the expectations of customers.
2) Physics still applies.
A satellite hundreds of kilometers above Earth faces approximately 50 dB more path loss than a terrestrial cell site just a kilometer away. Moving from 2 GHz to 800 MHz recovers only a few dB of that enormous disadvantage.
Lower-frequency spectrum can help improve satellite connectivity, but it doesn't change the fundamen
@SpaceX acquiring nationwide low-band spectrum to help turn Starlink into a major U.S. mobile carrier:
"Some are calling it the "last critical piece" needed to compete with the national wireless carriers. I can tell you there's a big difference between owning spectrum and delivering a great mobile experience to millions of customers.
A few things worth keeping in perspective:
1) Spectrum is just the starting point.
The Grain transaction involves approximately 14 MHz of spectrum that T-Mobile previously divested because it was no longer central to our network strategy. Even with this acquisition, @Starlink Mobile would have roughly 80 MHz of spectrum, some of it uplink-only. Compare that to T-Mobile's nearly 400 MHz of mid-band and low-band spectrum holdings.
We used 800 MHz spectrum as a single 5 MHz uplink/5 MHz downlink channel for LTE years ago. Today, we're operating a nationwide 5G Standalone network, launched nationwide 5G-Advanced, and are already helping shape the path to 6G, all using channels that are much wider. The industry has moved forward and so have the expectations of customers.
2) Physics still applies.
A satellite hundreds of kilometers above Earth faces approximately 50 dB more path loss than a terrestrial cell site just a kilometer away. Moving from 2 GHz to 800 MHz recovers only a few dB of that enormous disadvantage.
Lower-frequency spectrum can help improve satellite connectivity, but it doesn't change the fundamen2026-10-10 07:24 HKT Original post ↗
Investors.com 
@IBDinvestorsViews ›
@IBDinvestorsViews ›No stance
Catalyst · SpaceX Buys Wireless Spectrum For Starlink; Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile Tumble https://www.investors.com/news/spacex-buys-wireless-spectrum-starlink-elon-musk-verizon-att-t-mobile-tumble/
2026-10-09 21:10 HKT Original post ↗
Stephanie Link 
@Stephanie_LinkViews ›
@Stephanie_LinkViews ›No stance
Catalyst · SpaceX Lands 800 MHz Spectrum: Starlink Mobile's Carrier Play Gets Real - while the incumbents stand by and watch. $SPCX $TMUS $T $VZ
https://www.basenor.com/blogs/news/spacex-lands-800-mhz-spectrum-starlink-mobiles-carrier-play-gets-real
2026-10-09 05:14 HKT Original post ↗
tae kim @firstadopterViews ›
@firstadopterViews ›Bullish First call
Catalyst · Medium term · Depending on timing, this could be MATERIALLY higher than the 1.3 gigawatts for 2027 number given on the Broadcom earnings call.
WSJ: "The new Broadcom financing for OpenAI could include several gigawatts of OpenAI chip capacity, one of the people familiar with the discussions said. The deal is expected to close before the end of the year." https://www.wsj.com/tech/oracle-broadcom-and-spacex-seek-blockbuster-debt-deals-to-pay-for-ai-chips-848e8032
2026-10-08 09:50 HKT Original post ↗
The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetterViews ›
@KobeissiLetterViews ›Bullish First call
Catalyst · Medium term · BREAKING: SpaceX, $SPCX, is in talks with banks and investors to raise $40 billion of debt to buy chips from Nvidia amid "insatiable demand" among AI developers, per Bloomberg.
The company is seeking to raise about $10 billion in bank loans and $30 billion in investment-grade debt to pay for the chips.
The AI Revolution is even stronger than most people realize.
2026-10-07 08:35 HKT Original post ↗
Background How the narrative evolved over time, for context on current views
By week Last 4 weeks
- 10/12–10/18 · 59 posts · Bull 1 / Bear 1@elonmusk: @TSLAFanMtl SpaceX is an anomaly in the matrix. (Bullish)
- 10/5–10/11 · 44 posts · Bull 2 / Bear 0@firstadopter: Depending on timing, this could be MATERIALLY higher than the 1.3 gigawatts for 2027 number given on the Broadcom earnings call.
WSJ: "The new Broadcom financing for OpenAI could include several gigawatts of OpenAI chip capacity, one of the people familiar with the discussions said. The deal is expected to close before the end of the year." https://www.wsj.com/tech/oracle-broadcom-and-spacex-seek-blockbuster-debt-deals-to-pay-for-ai-chips-848e8032 (Bullish)
- 9/28–10/4 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0No discussion
- 9/21–9/27 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0No discussion
Key views and how they evolved Newest first
@GerberKawasaki: SpaceX has given the EU and others a huge incentive to build a competitor to Starlink and SpaceX. $SPCX
See original
SpaceX has given the EU and others a huge incentive to create a competitor to starlink and spacex $SPCX
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
Depending on timing, this could be MATERIALLY higher than the 1.3 gigawatts for 2027 number given on the Broadcom earnings call. WSJ: "The new Broadcom financing for OpenAI could include several gigawatts of OpenAI chip capacity, one of the people familiar with the discussions said. The deal is expected to close before the end of the year." https://www.wsj.com/tech/oracle-broadcom-and-spacex-seek-blockbuster-debt-deals-to-pay-for-ai-chips-848e8032
wsj.com/tech/oracle-broadcom-and-spacex- ↗
The original is long; open it to read in full
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term Specific
BREAKING: SpaceX, $SPCX, is in talks with banks and investors to raise $40 billion of debt to buy chips from Nvidia amid "insatiable demand" among AI developers, per Bloomberg. The company is seeking to raise about $10 billion in bank loans and $30 billion in investment-grade debt to pay for the chips. The AI Revolution is even stronger than most people realize.
The original is long; open it to read in full
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term
No-stance mentions (99)
Daymond John (@TheSharkDaymond) argues that attention follows CEOs with great products who know how to brand themselves. Example: in 2025 @teslamotors stock dropped due to @elonmusk controversy; he advised looking beyond headlines for wealth-building opportunities. Now focus is on the new Tesla Roadster, generating billions in free media. He holds Tesla and SpaceX and feels more confident about their future. Compares to Steve Jobs at Apple launches and Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway. Stresses that great products plus trusted leadership create long-term value, which is the mission of CEO Access.
See original
ATTENTION WILL ALWAYS FOLLOW CEOS THAT HAVE A GREAT PRODUCT AND KNOW HOW TO BRAND THEMSELVES
Here is a perfect example:
In 2025, when @teslamotors stock dropped due to @elonmusk contovery. I encouraged people to look beyond the headlines and focus on opportunities to build wealth for themselves and their families.
Fast forward to my interview with @tmztv yesterday discussing how Elon Musk is changing the world. People forgot about that controvesy and everyone is talking about his new tesla roadster. Thats billions upon billions of free media, press and advertising for his company.
And that makes everyone in his company and share holders all the way down to hard working person holding his stock in their 401k for retirement.
I also hold both Tesla and SpaceX. And he just recently made me feel more confident about the companies future
But more importantly. This is why I created Ceo Access.
It’s about the power of leadership and personal branding.
Steve jobs mastered this kind of excitement annually at his @apple launches.
Warren buffet does it annually at Berkshire Hathaway and the list goes on to the CEOs we know as household names
Let’s me clear that the product must be great in the first place. But what separates good companies from extraordinary ones is often Leadership is who people recognize, understand, and trust.
Steve Jobs wasn’t loved by everyone. Neither is Elon Musk. But you don’t have to agree with everything a CEO says to believe in the company the
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
$SPCX can't pick a direction but @Polymarket is already planning the wedding. $TSLA
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$SPCX can't pick a direction but @Polymarket is already planning the wedding. $TSLA
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
$SPCX Starlink Mobile projected to reach ~$65B revenue by 2031 with just 8% of global mobile market implying ~$800B opportunity beyond rural satellite coverage. Starship enables each V2 Mobile launch to support ~60x more users than Falcon 9 with V1, allowing faster scaling. This reinforces how early the $ASTS opportunity is with carrier partnerships accessing ~3B potential subscribers in a market large enough for both.
See original
$SPCX Starlink Mobile is projected to reach ~$65B in revenue by 2031 with just 8% of global mobile market implying an ~$800B opportunity that goes far beyond rural satellite coverage. Starship is a huge part of that because each V2 Mobile launch could support ~60x more users than Falcon 9 carrying V1 satellites, allowing SpaceX to scale its network and revenue much faster. And I think this only reinforces how early we're in the $ASTS opportunity because its carrier partnerships already provide access to ~3B potential subscribers in a market large enough for both companies to build massive connectivity businesses.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term Specific
@APompliano thinks Elon Musk should and will merge Tesla and SpaceX within two years; if so, $TSLA could run as speculators price in $SPCX paying a premium.
See original
Will @elonmusk merge Tesla and SpaceX?
Not only do I think he should, but I think it will happen in the next two years.
If that will happen, then you could expect $TSLA to run as speculators price in the odds of $SPCX having to pay a premium for the car/robotics company.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term
@StockSavvyShay: Musk says the $TSLA flying Roadster will be "sentient" and do stunts autonomously with $SPCX thrusters; Kalshi now prices ~60% odds of a merger announcement.
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Elon Musk says $TSLA flying Roadster will be “sentient” and perform its stunts autonomously using $SPCX thrusters. The engineering overlap between Tesla and SpaceX keeps growing with Kalshi now pricing a ~60% chance of a merger announcement.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term
@charliebilello % below all time high: Apple 0%, S&P 500 -2%, Microsoft -4%, Meta -11%, Nvidia -12%, Palantir -12%, Amazon -13%, Google -17%, AMD -20%, gold -26%, Tesla -29%, SpaceX -36%, Bitcoin -36%, Netflix -47%, Ethereum -52%.
See original
% Below All-Time High Apple: 0% S&P 500: -2% Microsoft: -4% Meta: -11% Nvidia: -12% Palantir: -12% Amazon: -13% Google: -17% AMD: -20% Gold: -26% Tesla: -29% SpaceX: -36% Bitcoin: -36% Netflix: -47% Ethereum: -52% Dogecoin: -90% Fartcoin: -94% Trump Coin: -98% Melania Coin: -99%
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
@kevinolearytv on Tesla's flying car: permitting is a big challenge, but the technology is getting there and could matter for metro areas. $TSLA
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Trying out the new Meta glasses from Thailand. Today’s topic is the Tesla flying car. I look at it from multiple perspectives. From just permitting, there’s a lot of challenges. What’s so interesting about it, the technology itself is getting there and I think for metropolitan areas it’s gonna be very difficult. For long-haul traffic it could be very cool. Or in rural areas, even better, flying around in your car. I love the idea. From a perspective of investing, here’s what I think is going to happen. I think there’s no question that Tesla’s going to merge with SpaceX because that technology is coming together like this. So if you own Tesla stock, you’re going to own New Co. If you already own SpaceX, hang in. You’re going to own Tesla. It’s going to happen that way. #shotonmeta #metaglasses
Reasoning: Fundamentals
@RyanDetrick shares 5 year CDS spreads on $ORCL, $SPCX and $CRWV, which is why worry is building on AI.
See original
5-year CDS spreads on $ORCL $SPCX and $CRWV This is why worry is building on AI.
Reasoning: Sentiment · Short term
@StockSavvyShay: Elon Musk says the Roadster will perform its tricks autonomously, with a looping track planned at $TSLA Texas HQ, combining Tesla autonomy software with $SPCX thrusters.
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Elon Musk says the Roadster will be able to “perform any of the tricks shown autonomously” with a wild looping track planned at $TSLA Texas HQ. Whats really interesting is Tesla is combining its autonomous control software with $SPCX thrusters while private track could turn the Roadster into a much more exclusive experience rather than just another sports car.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term
I can't wait to get mine! $TSLA $SPCX
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I can't wait to get mine! $TSLA $SPCX
Reasoning: Sentiment · Medium term
Agrees that the sole purpose of last night’s Roadster event was to make the case for a $SPCX-$TSLA merger. Guesses announcement in next few weeks of $SPCX buying $TSLA for $420/share in SPCX stock; deal could take a year to close.
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3/ I agree with those who say the sole purpose of last night’s Roadster event was to make the case for a $SPCX-$TSLA merger. My guess: Announcement in next few weeks $SPCX buys $TSLA for $420/share in SPCX stock; deal could take a year to close.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term Specific
@TrungTPhanTesla VP of Hardware Engineering Lars Moravy explains to Hagerty how the Roadster borrows SpaceX cold gas thrusters to make 0 to 60 possible in 0.55 seconds. Details: 200L carbon-over wrapped pressure vessel behind seat holds nitrogen at 10,000 PSI; cold gas thrusters push out 80 kN of thrust (equivalent to a single fighter jet engine); Tesla went with nitrogen because “it just seemed wrong to put fuel into a car” (air is ~80% nitrogen); thrusters same system as satellites.
See original
Tesla VP of Hardware Engineering Lars Moravy explains to Hagerty how the Roadster borrows SpaceX cold gas thrusters to make 0 to 60 possible in 0.55 seconds. Truly insane: ▫️ 200L carbon-over wrapped pressure vessel behind seat holds nitrogen at 10,000 PSI ▫️cold gas thrusters push out 80 kN of thrust (equivalent to a single fighter jet engine) ▫️Tesla went with nitrogen because “it just seemed wrong to put fuel into a car” (air is ~80% nitrogen, fair enough) ▫️thrusters same system satellites use to move in space (eg. the “psh psh psh" from Apollo 13 film) ▫️currently takes 6 to 7 hours to refill all nitrogen but Tesla working for it to be 30 minutes ▫️uses leg actuators from Optimus robot to manage downforce on wing *** Full 25-min episode with Henry Catchpole here: https://youtu.be/22rvpUecLts?si=jtwK4t58kotdGkyi
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
President Trump says he’s “very happy for Elon” and calls $TSLA new Roadster demo “very impressive.” The Roadster used $SPCX thrusters to jump over Tesla’s vehicle lineup showing how closely the two companies are working together on new technology.
See original
President Trump says he’s “very happy for Elon” and calls $TSLA new Roadster demo “very impressive.” The Roadster used $SPCX thrusters to jump over Tesla’s vehicle lineup showing how closely the two companies are working together on new technology.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Long term
Special @YahooFinance Market Hang today with @realMeetKevin discussing the Tesla Roadster event last night, Tesla SpaceX merger and the housing market. $TSLA. Tune in at 9:30 am PST.
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We have a very special @YahooFinance Market Hang today with the amazing @realMeetKevin joining the crew to discuss the crazy tesla roadster event last night, tesla spacex merger and of course the housing market. $TSLA You've got to tune in at 9:30 am pst at https://finance.yahoo.com
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
@StockSavvyShay notes Blue Origin's new upper-stage factory could produce up to 150 stages annually to scale New Glenn, and as an $ASTS shareholder roots for it because New Glenn could carry about 8 BlueBirds versus about 3 on $SPCX Falcon 9, while AST is not counting on it in its 2026 plan so successful launches could accelerate the path to 45 satellites. Video thumbnail attached.
See original
Blue Origin says its new upper stage factory could produce up to 150 stages annually as it prepares to scale New Glenn launches. Selfishly rooting for this as an $ASTS shareholder because New Glenn could carry ~8 BlueBirds versus ~3 on $SPCX Falcon 9 and AST isn't even counting on it in its 2026 plan so successful launches could really accelerate its path to 45 satellites. https://x.com/davill/status/2111098921464516994/video/1
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term
Adding to $ASTS during drawdown as rising yields do not change how early we are in building a larger space economy with satellites as another layer of global telecom infrastructure. AST has carrier partnerships accessing ~3B potential subscribers who prefer an alternative to $SPCX Starlink for direct-to-phone. Challenge is scaling to ~45 satellites and converting to paying users, but ~70% drawdown already reflects production and launch risk in valuation.
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I've been adding to my $ASTS position during this drawdown because rising yields don't change how early we are in building a much larger space economy where satellites become another layer of global telecom infrastructure. AST already has carrier partnerships giving it access to ~3B potential subscribers and those carriers have every reason to support an alternative to Starlink rather than depend entirely on $SPCX for direct-to-phone connectivity. The biggest challenge now is scaling to ~45 satellites and turning those partnerships into paying users but with the stock already in a ~70% drawdown I do think a lot of that production and launch risk is being reflected in valuation.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
Scott Redler’s #630club live premarket stock market update covering $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK.
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⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update ➡️ $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1AGRnZABwQaGl
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
$TSLA unveiled revamped Roadster at SpaceX facility using $SPCX thruster and suction tech to fly short distances, with 0-60 under 1 second. Estimate 2029 financial impact roughly $.06/share or 1.1% incremental to $5.40 consensus adj EPS assuming 3,000 deliveries/year and $100K unit profit. Halo effect on franchise more important. Remain cautious on $TSLA given extreme valuation (2026 P/E of 230x vs +45% long-term EPS growth), negative 2027-2030 earnings revisions, and unsupervised autonomy becoming commoditized.
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$TSLA unveiled its long-awaited revamped Roadster EV last night before an invitation only audience at the SpaceX facility in McGregor TX. The car, which leverages $SPCX thruster and suction technology to fly short distances, will offer promised acceleration from 0-60 in under 1 second, making it the fastest production car in the world. While amazing from an engineering and technology standpoint, we estimate the 2029 financial impact assuming 3,000 deliveries per year and a $100K unit profit per car, will be roughly $.06/share, or 1.1% incremental to 2029 consensus adj eps of $5.40. More important is likely to be the halo effect on the Tesla franchise and brand impact created by the prototype's flight capabilities, acceleration and handling which could add far more incremental value from a franchise standpoint. We remain cautious on $TSLA given its extreme valuation (2026 P/E of 230x vs +45% long-term esp growth), negative 2027-2030 earnings revisions, and our view that unsupervised autonomy, the stock’s main value driver, will become increasingly commoditized over the next few years as full self-driving becomes table stakes for remaining in the automobile business. https://www.youtube.com/live/qt5p-_tE8d0?si=uniCV54KsS4Kfgvc
Reasoning: Valuation · Medium term Specific
Ross Gerber (@GerberKawasaki) says SpaceX buying Tesla this year has become obvious, referencing $TSLA and $SPCX.
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So spaceX buys tesla this year. Thats has become obvious. $tsla $SPCX
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Is SpaceX also a bond market story? @sonusvarghese thinks so. $SPCX
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Is SpaceX also a bond market story? @sonusvarghese thinks so. $SPCX
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
@APompliano: the Roadster looks like SpaceX rocket technology added to a Tesla, and he sees no way Elon doesn't merge the two companies.
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This literally looks like SpaceX rocket technology added to a Tesla car. No way Elon doesn’t merge the two companies.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term
Two takeaways from tonight’s Roadster event. 1. Engineering flex with no commercial value beyond embarrassing traditional car makers. 2. Elon can’t wait to bring $TSLA and $SPCX together.
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Two takeaways from tonight’s Roadster event. 1. It was an engineering flex with no commercial value beyond embarrassing traditional car makers. 2. Elon can’t wait to bring $TSLA and $SPCX together.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Gene Munster (@munster_gene) says the Roadster event illustrates why Elon wants to combine $TSLA and $SPCX, as the new Roadster is a mashup of the two tech teams aiming to break physics with 0-60 in one second, high-G cornering, and 10 thrusters.
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The Roadster event is the latest example of why Elon can’t wait to bring $TSLA and $SPCX together. Elon says the new Roadster is a mashup of the two tech teams. The car’s goal is to break the laws of physics: 0-60 in one second, suck the road for high-G cornering, and 10 thrusters that cause the car to flip. It’s a ridiculous display of engineering.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang says the future of $SPCX AI data centers in space will depend more on the value of the compute than the cost of launching it. Hardware is still the biggest expense so orbital data centers will favor the most productive AI chips that can justify the cost of putting them into space.
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$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang says the future of $SPCX AI data centers in space will depend more on value of the compute than the cost of launching it. The hardware is still the biggest expense so orbital data centers will favor the most productive AI chips that can justify the cost of putting them into space. https://x.com/PodcastAlphaX/status/2110876829699493953/video/1
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
The poster owns both $SPCX and $RKLB, understands why valuations differ, but thinks the disconnect between the two has become really difficult to ignore.
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I own both $SPCX and $RKLB so this isn't about favoring one over the other and I understand why their valuations differ but I think the disconnect between the two has become really difficult to ignore.
Reasoning: Valuation
$SPCX is valued at ~$2T versus ~$35B for $RKLB which is ~60x higher despite generating only ~25x revenue with Rocket Lab trading at less than half sales multiple while still growing 62%. The market may be underappreciating Rocket Lab's Space Systems business, and if Neutron flies in 2027 the valuation gap could narrow.
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$SPCX is valued at ~$2T versus ~$35B for $RKLB which is ~60x higher despite generating only ~25x revenue with Rocket Lab trading at less than half sales multiple while still growing 62%. I totally understand how SpaceX deserves a premium for Starlink, AI and its launch dominance but Rocket Lab already has a Space Systems business selling satellites and components across the industry which I think the market is absolutely underappreciating. And if Neutron starts flying in 2027 then Rocket Lab becomes an even stronger alternative for both launch and spacecraft which is why I think valuation gap could narrow significantly as execution catches up.
Reasoning: Valuation Specific
StockSavvyShay reports $IONQ is launching two radar satellites aboard $SPCX on Monday to detect Earth's surface movements for defense and infrastructure, noting IonQ already sells millimeter-level radar data via Capella since Q2, potentially expanding its space business.
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$IONQ is launching two radar satellites aboard $SPCX on Monday that will fly in formation to detect tiny movements in the Earth’s surface for defense and infrastructure customers. What makes this interesting is IonQ already began selling millimeter-level radar data through Capella in Q2 and these satellites could make that service more valuable while expanding its space business beyond quantum computing.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Medium term
garyblack00 advises $TSLA bulls should stop pumping the TSLA-SPCX deal. Since it will be a stock-for-stock deal, the combined entity should trade at the lower stock’s multiple (TSLA), so any premium paid for $TSLA with $SPCX stock will be whittled away by arbitrageurs by the time the deal closes.
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$TSLA bulls should stop pumping the TSLA-SPCX deal. Since it will be a stock for stock deal and in such combinations the combined entity should trade at the lower stock’s multiple (here TSLA), any premium paid for $TSLA with $SPCX stock will be whittled away by arbs by the time the deal closes.
Reasoning: Valuation
Jensen Huang says $NVDA and $SPCX engineers are working on “a new type of server” for AI data centers in space that could also work on Earth. Compared Elon to $GOOGL as he trains AI models, runs Grok and rents out compute; Nvidia helping design infrastructure SpaceX could take into orbit with reusable rockets.
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Jensen Huang says $NVDA and $SPCX engineers are working on “a new type of server” for AI data centers in space that could also work on Earth. Jensen also compared Elon to $GOOGL because he trains AI models, runs Grok and rents out compute and now Nvidia is helping design the infrastructure that SpaceX could eventually take into orbit using its reusable rockets.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
Very special @YahooFinance market hang today. Will be discussing Tesla and the Roadster event with the great @garyblack00. Will SpaceX and Tesla merge? And much more today at 9:30 am pst at Yahoo Finance live. $TSLA
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Very special @YahooFinance market hang today. Will be discussing tesla and the Roadster event with the great @garyblack00 . Will spaceX and tesla merge? And much more today at 9:30 am pst at yahoo finance live. $tsla https://finance.yahoo.com
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
@StockSavvyShay: $AMZN is reportedly blocking Grok bots from ordering, prompting $SPCX CEO Elon Musk to say "maybe we should start a competitor to Amazon." AI agents can bypass Amazon's ads, but its warehouses and delivery network are hard to replicate, giving Amazon leverage.
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$AMZN is reportedly blocking Grok bots from placing orders prompting $SPCX CEO Elon Musk to say “maybe we should start a competitor to Amazon.” The interesting part is AI agents can bypass Amazon’s advertising but replicating its warehouses and delivery network is much harder giving Amazon a ton of leverage even if agents become the new way people shop.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
@APompliano says as a shareholder he would fully support a Tesla SpaceX merger, calling @elonmusk the best entrepreneur of his generation. $TSLA $SPCX
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As a shareholder, I would fully support a Tesla - SpaceX merger.
It is clear that @elonmusk is the best entrepreneur of our generation.
Give him as many resources as possible and let him do his thing.
$TSLA $SPCX
Reasoning: Catalyst · Long term
(Reposted by @BillAckman) @brivael argues Bernie Sanders' claim that the top 1% owns more than the bottom 93% is a seductive but wrong argument, since wealth distribution always follows a power law.
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Bernie Sanders says the top 1% owns more than the bottom 93%, that fewer than a thousand billionaires got $2.2 trillion richer last year, and that it's "obscene." It's the most seductive and most wrong economic argument of our time. Let me explain why. First, wealth distribution follows a power law. Always. Everywhere. Books, music, startups, followers on X, goals in soccer. A small minority captures most of the value. That's not a bug of capitalism. It's the mathematical signature of every system where value gets created. So the only question that matters isn't "how big is the rich's slice?" It's "is the cake growing, and is the slice of the poorest growing with it?" And the answer is yes. In 1990, more than one human in three lived in extreme poverty. Today it's about one in ten. During exactly the period when billionaires multiplied. Bernie shows you the slice. He never shows you the cake. Second thing he won't tell you: past a certain level, wealth stops being consumption. It becomes capital allocation. Elon Musk isn't sleeping on a pile of cash. He owns stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, xAI. Jeff Bezos owns Amazon stock. That "$2.2 trillion" isn't sitting in a checking account. It's factories, rockets, data centers, millions of jobs. Nobody can eat $100 billion. You can only decide where to invest it. Once you understand that, the whole debate changes. The real question becomes: who allocates capital better? The people who built Amazon, SpaceX and Nvidia? Or politicians?
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Scott Redler’s #630club live premarket stock market update mentioning $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK.
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⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update ➡️ $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1NGaroNdPydJj
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
$TSM is exploring a Texas expansion and in discussions with Elon Musk about Terafab as $SPCX and $TSLA scale ambitions across AI, robotics & chipmaking. Musk could own the facility while TSMC operates the fab inside it, potentially lowering costs and bringing advanced production closer.
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$TSM is exploring a Texas expansion and is in discussions with Elon Musk about Terafab as $SPCX and $TSLA scale their ambitions across AI, robotics & chipmaking. What’s really interesting is that Musk could own the facility while TSMC operates the fab inside it potentially lowering expansion costs while bringing advanced chip production closer to both companies.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
Interesting to see Elon interacting with finance X accounts. Amplifying $CRWV financing concerns, Chinese memory flooding, to AI investors being gamblers recently. With $SPCX and $TSLA, Elon is a visionary but amplifying concerns about competitors makes their financing more difficult as a self-fulfilling prophecy. Multiple posts about Chinese memory flooding after calling Samsung/SK Hynix pricing extortion harms these supplier valuations. Economic incentives probably benefit Tesla/SpaceX more in the long run even if everything goes down together. Merit to concerns about Coreweave debt interest + rate hikes. Nuances of "No crying in a Casino" when $AVGO CEO comments were regarding OpenAI ARR datapoints were missed. Can throw rocks at others when a glass house is propped up by passive index flows.
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It's interesting to see Elon interacting with finance X accounts out of the blue. Then amplifying $CRWV financing concerns, Chinese memory flooding, to AI investors being gamblers recently. With $SPCX and $TSLA, I do think Elon is a visionary but from how it looks from the outside... Amplifying concerns about competitors does make their financing more difficult as a self-fulfilling prophecy. And multiple posts about Chinese memory flooding after calling Samsung/SK Hynix pricing extortion does harm these supplier valuations... The economic incentives of doing so probably benefits Tesla/SpaceX more in the long run, even if everything goes down together. There's merit to a lot of things (I've been voicing Coreweave concerns about debt interest + rate hikes for the longest time...). But much like high end memory flooding to nuances of "No crying in a Casino" when the $AVGO CEO comments were regarding OpenAI ARR datapoints... were missed. You can throw rocks at others when a glass house is propped up by passive index flows
Reasoning: Sentiment
@canuck2usa: Barclays says a Tesla SpaceX merger announcement is possible before December.
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*TESLA-SPACEX MERGER ANNOUNCEMENT POSSIBLE BEFORE DEC: BARCLAYS
Reasoning: Catalyst · Short term
@RyanDetrick: the bull market turned four; the S&P 500 is up about 118% since October 2022, 131% with dividends, and every bull market in 50 years that reached a third birthday saw a fifth.
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Ep 209 of Facts vs Feelings is here! The bull market turned four this week 🎂 @sonusvarghese and I dig into what's driving it and where the stress is building 📈 The S&P 500 is up about 118% since October 2022, or 131% with dividends. Every bull market in the last 50 years that reached its third birthday went on to see a fifth. 💰 Profit growth accounts for roughly 85 points of the gain, about 40 of them from margin expansion. This year the forward P/E fell from about 22x to 19.5x as Treasury yields climbed, and earnings growth more than offset it. 💳 CCC spreads are near 900 bps. High yield overall is flat, and rate-hedged high yield and loans are beating cash. Ryan and Sonu see a duration problem from rising yields. 🏦 Hyperscaler bonds went from 1-2% of net new Treasury borrowing to about 14% in a year. SpaceX raised roughly $150B in four months, and its five-year CDS hit a record 200 bps. 🤖 Billions in AI compute contracts start billing between 2027 and 2029. Sonu flags 2027 and 2028 as the potential reckoning for the AI capex cycle. We also cover small caps vs higher yields, the dollar back above 100 on the DXY, and next week's midterm episode with PIMCO's Libby Cantrell. 👇👇 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DK_wZ8ap1uA
Reasoning: Sentiment · Long term
We have the first post-CPI $SPX $SPY $QQQ candle. Fresh game plan for names like $META $SPCX $SNDK.
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We have the first post-CPI $SPX $SPY $QQQ candle. Get on the list for tomorrow's update - fresh game plan for names like $META $SPCX $SNDK: ➡️ https://t3live.com/rd
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Neutron slipping into 2027 is obviously disappointing but would rather $RKLB lose several months fixing a known manufacturing issue than protect a launch date and increase risk of losing the vehicle. Details more reassuring than headline because Rocket Lab says problem...
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Neutron slipping into 2027 is obviously disappointing but I would much rather $RKLB lose several months fixing a known manufacturing issue than protect a launch date and increase the risk of losing the vehicle. The details are also much more reassuring than headline because Rocket Lab says problem came from tiny voids forming inside thicker sections of carbon composite dome after redesigning the structure to eliminate joints which makes this look much more like a manufacturing process issue than evidence that underlying Neutron architecture is flawed. I will say that Rocket Lab isn't giving a new launch date until stage one testing finishes in Q1 so realistically I think first flight moves into middle of 2027 and potentially later so that obviously pushes out the biggest near term catalyst but the important distinction is that Rocket Lab doesn't need Neutron revenue tomorrow to survive because Space Systems already represents ~80% of revenue while the company has built a record backlog around $2.4B across satellites, components, spacecraft and government programs. Thats also why I think market and long term investors are going to view this very differently because if your thesis was Neutron launching in Q4 and creating a near term rerating then a several month delay matters a lot but if your thesis is that Rocket Lab can become one of only scaled vertically integrated space infrastructure companies outside $SPCX then a manufacturing delay matters much less as long as engi
Reasoning: Fundamentals
Barclays’ Dan Levy says $TSLA and $SPCX could announce a merger before the December 6 annual meeting deadline, citing Musk’s converging ambitions in AI, robotics, chips and satellite connectivity.
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Barclays’ Dan Levy says $TSLA and $SPCX could announce a merger before the December 6 annual meeting deadline. The logic is that Musk’s ambitions across AI, robotics, chips and satellite connectivity are increasingly converging making a merger make a ton of sense.
Reasoning: Catalyst
Really nasty day for favorite AI stocks with levels unseen since July. Important to understand incentives of those creating fear. Chamath post links to paywalled article. Elon commenting yikes because $CRWV is primary competitor to $SPCX. Truth: vast majority of $CRWV capital structure is secured contract-backed facilities priced off offtake quality and GPU collateral. Only ~10% unsecured that might trade at 15%. These 15% yields alarm for future unsecured but focused on mid single digit contract-backed loans, not major red flag to the buildout.
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Really nasty day for our favorite AI stocks with levels unseen since July. It's important to 1) understand the incentives of those creating the fear and 2) not take tweets at face value without doing your own research. Chamath made this post because it links to a paywalled article and the attention lands right in his pocket. Elon commenting "yikes" because $CRWV is a primary competitor to $SPCX, and it's a chance for a cheap dig. The truth: The vast majority of $CRWV's capital structure is secured, contract-backed facilities that are priced off customer offtake quality and GPU collateral. Only around 10% of their debt is the unsecured stuff that might trade at 15% if they seek more... These 15% yields are alarming showing what $CRWV would have to pay for future unsecured bonds they issue but given they're focused on these contract-backed loans that have come in at mid single digits I don't really see this as some major red flag to the buildout.
Reasoning: Fundamentals Specific
Scott Redler: Hotter CPI tests stocks. $SPY key support $776 (8-day MA), $779–$781 reference zone. $QQQ defended 21-day, next resistance $749.20. $GOOGL relative strength, manage vs $346 or $343 support, still upside potential. $META bullish momentum, targets $779 and $795 after consolidation. Exited $SPCX after $160 break, next downside $156.11, concerns on capital needs. $NVDA tactical trade from $223 to $228.64, trimmed, not major breakout. Price action over predictions.
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HOTTER CPI PUTS STOCKS TO THE TEST + $SPY / $QQQ WILL KEY SUPPORT HOLD? + $GOOGL RELATIVE STRENGTH + $META BULLISH MOMENTUM + $SPCX I’M OUT CPI came in slightly hotter than expected, putting the stock market's resilience to another important test. Inflation remains a concern, with investors still debating whether the Fed will need one or two additional rate hikes. * The market has been holding up relatively well, but not all stocks are created equal. Mega-cap tech and select software names are offering constructive setups, while speculative growth and momentum stocks remain difficult to trade. * Here's what I'm watching today: 1. $SPY / $QQQ — Will Key Support Hold? $SPY has repeatedly defended its 8-day moving average, with $776 emerging as critical active support. The $779–$781 area is the immediate reference zone. A sustained break below $776 could invite additional selling pressure, particularly following the hotter CPI print. $QQQ has experienced a deeper pullback but successfully defended its 21-day moving average. The next challenge is reclaiming the 8-day, with $749.20 serving as important near-term resistance. A rejection there could encourage active sellers. The broader technical structure remains constructive, but these levels need to hold. * 2. $GOOGL — Relative Strength Continues Alphabet has been one of the more forgiving names to trade. I've been trimming into strength and recently sold my options after a quick $4 move, but I'm still holding some sh
Reasoning: Technicals Specific
BofA sees global AI data center capacity growing ~5x to 219 GW by 2030: $AMZN +42 GW, $GOOGL +27 GW, $MSFT +24 GW, $SPCX +24 GW, $META +18 GW, $ORCL +12 GW, $CRWV +7 GW, $NBIS +5 GW, $IREN +3 GW. Neoclouds ~40% of new capacity in 2030.
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BofA sees global AI data center capacity growing ~5x to 219 GW by 2030: • $AMZN +42 GW • $GOOGL +27 GW • $MSFT +24 GW • $SPCX +24 GW • $META +18 GW • $ORCL +12 GW • $CRWV +7 GW • $NBIS +5 GW • $IREN +3 GW What’s really interesting is that neoclouds will be accounting for ~40% of new capacity added in 2030.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term Specific
@RedDogT3 (Scott Redler) promotes his #630club live premarket stock market update broadcast, covering $NVDA, $MU, $SPCX and $SNDK.
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⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update ➡️ $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1OxwbnMwgOgJB
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Hard to imagine the neocloud Nvidia has been supporting couldn't access capital at a reasonable price; bonds selling off badly suggests someone knows something. $SPCX debt also an issue amid competition for capital from general corporate debt.
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Number one is a fair point…just hard to imagine that the one neocloud Nvidia has unconditionally been supporting would be the one that couldn’t access capital at a reasonable price. Feels like someone knows something about them for the bonds to sell off this badly. $SPCX debt also an issue as the general corporate debt is creating so much competition for capital
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Medium term
(Reposted by @carlquintanilla) @andrewrsorkin announces the Nov 18 DealBook Summit lineup, including JD Vance, Mark Carney, Sam Altman, Christine Lagarde, Elon Musk, Satya Nadella and Nasdaq's Adena Friedman.
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Thrilled to announce @DealBook Summit lineup on Nov 18. Please join us! JD Vance, v.p. of the United States Mark Carney, prime minister of Canada Sam Altman, OpenAI Hailey Bieber, Rhode Greg Brockman, OpenAI Shayne Coplan, Polymarket David Ellison, Skydance Adena Friedman, Nasdaq Christine Lagarde, president of the E.C.B. Palmer Luckey, Anduril Zohran Mamdani, mayor of New York City Elon Musk, SpaceX and Tesla (and more) Satya Nadella, Microsoft Vlad Tenev, Robinhood
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
@RedDogT3 announces a live premarket stock market update covering $NVDA, $MU, $SPCX and $SNDK. No new market view.
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⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update ➡️ Free VIP List Newsletter: https://www.t3live.com/rd *** $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1nxnRBkEaQjxO
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
The author says US stocks also need to maintain the index and just bought some $NVDA and $INTW, but is afraid to buy $SPCX and others due to fear of continued declines.
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美股也需要维护指数，刚抄了点 $NVDA 和 $INTW ， $SPCX 其他的不敢搞怕继续跌。
Reasoning: Sentiment
@munster_gene says Apple's AI risk is not losing the iPhone but getting boxed out of the services upside for $AAPL. If users lock into $META Muse or $SPCX Grokbot first and start paying $20+ per month, it will be harder to get them to switch to Siri, so Apple needs to move faster.
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Apple's AI risk isn't the iPhone losing out. It's getting boxed out of the services upside. $AAPL If people lock into $META Muse or $SPCX Grokbot first, get their lives connected and workflows set up, and start paying $20+ per month, it will be harder to get them to switch to using Siri in any meaningful way. Siri can be a great personal AI, but Apple needs to move faster. From our Apple episode of Fathom with @dougclinton.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
$MU $SNDK $BE $NBIS $NVDA etc. Wonders if this is like the cash raise prior to $SPCX in the weeks leading into Anthropic getting cash ready.
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$MU $SNDK $BE $NBIS $NVDA etc Wonder if this is like the $$ raise prior to $SPCX In the weeks leading into Anthropic getting cash ready.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
@RedDogT3 urges caution this week: $SPY is near all-time highs but breadth is weak (the average momentum stock is down about 55% YTD and the average S&P 500 stock about 17%), semis and memory are breaking down ($MU below its 8- and 21-day, $SNDK below its 50-day, $WDC below its 200-day), $GS remains technically damaged, and $JPM sits near its 200-day around $325 ahead of earnings, PPI and CPI. He says $SPY stays constructive above $773 to $775 with a breakout possible above $779 and $781, and $QQQ's inverted head-and-shoulders holds above $743. He likes $META if $711 holds, with a move above $729 opening a retest of $779 and @RedDogT3 seeing $850+ by year-end if it clears $779 (he trades $METU, which needs to clear $30.74), and is watching $SPCX hold $160 for a breakout through $167 to $167.50 and $TSLA hold $379 for a breakout above $388.
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📺 THE STOCK MARKET IS HIDING SOMETHING – BE CAUTIOUS THIS WEEK + BANK EARNINGS + SEMIS FLASH WARNING SIGNS + $META BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP + $SPCX & $TSLA UPDATES $SPY is hovering near all-time highs, but beneath the surface, the market is telling a very different story. The average momentum stock is down roughly 55% YTD, while the average S&P 500 constituent has declined approximately 17%. Market breadth remains weak, semiconductor leadership is deteriorating, and the divergence between the major indices and individual stocks is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. Still, the market hasn't confirmed a breakdown. With $JPM and $GS earnings approaching alongside PPI and CPI inflation data, this could be a pivotal week. * Despite recent volatility, $SPY remains constructive as long as it holds the $773–$775 support zone, which aligns with Friday's low and the 8-day moving average. A move above $779 and $781 could open the door to another upside breakout. Losing support would raise concerns about a deeper correction. $QQQ has been sloppier than SPY, but its inverted head-and-shoulders formation remains valid above $743. Holding above $748 would support the bullish consolidation scenario. A break below $743 would suggest a failed breakout. * Bank earnings could set the tone this week. $JPM is approaching earnings near its 200-day moving average around $325. With expectations reduced following the selloff, better-than-feared results could spark a relief rally. $
Reasoning: Technicals Specific
Deutsche Bank upgraded $ASTS to Buy with a $93 price target, calling Friday’s 10% selloff misguided as $SPCX moves closer to competing directly with mobile carriers. Deutsche values AST’s Ligado spectrum rights at about $19B against a $23B enterprise value, implying the rest of the business is worth just about $4B, leaving upside from potential up to $1B Japan funding and government expansion.
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Deutsche Bank upgraded $ASTS to Buy with a $93 price target calling Friday’s 10% selloff “misguided” as $SPCX moves closer to competing directly with mobile carriers. What stands out is Deutsche values AST’s Ligado spectrum rights at ~$19B against a $23B enterprise value implying rest of the business is worth just ~$4B. That leaves a ton of upside if AST secures up to $1B in Japan funding, expands its government business and benefits from carriers moving closer to AST as SpaceX becomes a direct competitor.
Reasoning: Valuation · Medium term Specific
@RedDogT3 announces Scott Redler’s #630club live premarket stock market update covering $NVDA, $MU, $SPCX and $SNDK. No specific market view or analysis is shared in the post.
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⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update ➡️ $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yJAPwDkBBOGb
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Replying to @TevisDonny, @biancoresearch says they were given a list and notes that $SPCX is not in the $SPX. No further market view or specific stock analysis.
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@TevisDonny They give me this list. And note that $SPCX is not in the $SPX
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
(Reposted by @InvestorsLive) Free scan + video for ultimate trading watchlist and full plan for October 12, 2026 with @Chris_J_Lance. Lists many tickers including $SPY $QQQ $TSLA $NVDA etc. No specific stock mentioned with analysis.
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💥 FREE SCAN + VIDEO 💥 👉 Ultimate Trading Watchlist (Full Plan for October 12, 2026) with @Chris_J_Lance https://www.investorsunderground.com/free-scan-october-12-2026/ $SPY $SPX $QQQ $USO $META $TSLA $SPCX $ASTS $TMUS $VZ $AMT $CCI $TSM $CRWD $PANW $MSFT $NBIS $IBIT $MSTR $SNDK $MU $WDC $HPE $CBRS $ZCSH $ZROZ $TLT $GME $LITE $PLTR $HOOD $BWET $JPM $BAC $GS
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
“We have SpaceX at home.” SpaceX at home: $ASTS.
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“We have SpaceX at home." SpaceX at home: $ASTS
Reasoning: Sentiment · Medium term
Price to Sales Ratio (TTM Sales) lists SpaceX at 103, Palantir at 87, CrowdStrike at 52, AMD at 24, Broadcom at 20, NVIDIA at 19, Applied Materials at 13, Tesla at 13, Microsoft at 12, Apple at 11, Google at 10, Micron at 9, Intel at 9, Meta at 8, Cisco at 7, Netflix at 6, Oracle at 6, Amazon at 4, and S&P 500 at 3.5.
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Price to Sales Ratio (TTM Sales) SpaceX: 103 Palantir: 87 CrowdStrike: 52 AMD: 24 Broadcom: 20 NVIDIA: 19 Applied Materials: 13 Tesla: 13 Microsoft: 12 Apple: 11 Google: 10 Micron: 9 Intel: 9 Meta: 8 Cisco: 7 Netflix: 6 Oracle: 6 Amazon: 4 S&P 500: 3.5
Reasoning: Valuation Specific
$NVDA is reportedly exploring a ~$25B acquisition of Reflection AI with the startup already committed to ~$7.3B of compute through $SPCX and $NBIS. What makes this interesting is Nvidia could own open model layer on top of CUDA keeping more enterprise and sovereign AI workloads running on its hardware as Chinese models gain ground.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
Going to be guest hosting @YahooFinance "Market Hang" all next week from 9:30-10:30 am pst. Trying to get the whole group together, insights into investing in stocks and financial planning ideas to help you improve your life. And of course AI, Tesla & SpaceX, and more...
@realMeetKevin
@garyblack00
@DivesTech
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
THE FULL SPACE VALUE CHAIN Really interesting seeing how differently major space companies are positioned across launch, manufacturing, spectrum & services heading into 2028: • $RKLB combines rockets, satellite manufacturing & defense with Iridium global spectrum and 2.55M+ existing subs • $SPCX controls launch, satellite manufacturing & Starlink through its vertically integrated network • $ASTS connects everyday smartphones directly to satellites using large arrays & carrier spectrum • $PL operates Earth observation satellites & sells imagery, data & analytics • $FLY builds launch vehicles, lunar landers & defense systems • $YORK manufactures satellites for Pentagon constellations & defense programs • $RDW supplies spacecraft components, sensors & mission hardware • $BKSY operates imaging satellites & delivers real time geospatial intelligence You can also see below how the bigger opportunity in space is shifting toward owning scarce spectrum, infrastructure and recurring customer relationships.
Reasoning: Fundamentals Specific
@XFreezeElon Musk was asked why he built SpaceX and Tesla His answer reveals the deeper purpose behind everything he built: “SpaceX and Tesla are fundamentally intended to improve the probability that the future is good” Tesla → “accelerating sustainable energy” SpaceX → “making life multi-planetary and providing global internet through Starlink” And this is the part that says it all: “These are fundamental goods. The good of those companies will far exceed anything that I do from a charitable standpoint” Not just businesses… missions built to make the future better for all of humanity https://x.com/XFreeze/status/2059907495380857162/video/1
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Goldman estimates short-term AI compute is fetching $40B to $50B per GW annually across $SPCX, $NBIS and $CRWV nearly double long term rates and ~20x what a powered data center shell earns. What makes this really interesting is Nebius captures both spot and contracted pricing while $IREN locks in longer-term revenue showing how same GW can generate really different returns depending on contract.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
The AI boom is becoming a debt boom and credit markets are getting nervous. Oracle’s 5y CDS trades near a record 261bps, implying a 20.4% default probability. SpaceX: 16.5%. Even Nvidia: >7%. AI-related borrowers have issued nearly $500bn of debt this year, Bloomberg reports. The question: how much future AI revenue is already being spent?
Reasoning: Macro Specific
T-Mobile CTO in new post on @SpaceX acquiring nationwide low-band spectrum to help turn Starlink into a major U.S. mobile carrier:
"Some are calling it the "last critical piece" needed to compete with the national wireless carriers. I can tell you there's a big difference between owning spectrum and delivering a great mobile experience to millions of customers.
A few things worth keeping in perspective:
1) Spectrum is just the starting point.
The Grain transaction involves approximately 14 MHz of spectrum that T-Mobile previously divested because it was no longer central to our network strategy. Even with this acquisition, @Starlink Mobile would have roughly 80 MHz of spectrum, some of it uplink-only. Compare that to T-Mobile's nearly 400 MHz of mid-band and low-band spectrum holdings.
We used 800 MHz spectrum as a single 5 MHz uplink/5 MHz downlink channel for LTE years ago. Today, we're operating a nationwide 5G Standalone network, launched nationwide 5G-Advanced, and are already helping shape the path to 6G, all using channels that are much wider. The industry has moved forward and so have the expectations of customers.
2) Physics still applies.
A satellite hundreds of kilometers above Earth faces approximately 50 dB more path loss than a terrestrial cell site just a kilometer away. Moving from 2 GHz to 800 MHz recovers only a few dB of that enormous disadvantage.
Lower-frequency spectrum can help improve satellite connectivity, but it doesn't change the fundamen
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Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
$ASTS CEO Abel Avellan says its satellites can tune to ~1,000 MHz of spectrum held by U.S. carriers alongside AST’s own 45 MHz of L band spectrum. The difference is $SPCX is buying spectrum to compete with carriers while AST is using their existing networks to expand coverage.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
BREAKING: Elon Musk says $SPCX could reach a $1 quadrillion valuation 65% chance Tesla and SpaceX merge before 2028
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
$ASTS now officially trades under 10x 2028 price to sales while $SPCX is moving to acquire nationwide low band spectrum that AST had also been pursuing. What makes this interesting is SpaceX is validating how scarce D2D spectrum really is while AST already holds long term access to lower mid-band through Ligado. I think folks are too focused on AST losing a potential spectrum deal rather than what its existing spectrum rights could be worth as SpaceX pushes deeper into market. That’s why I still don't think this is a zero sum market and I added more to my position today because I believe there is room for both to win. Time will tell.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Medium term Specific
$ASTS: sell off is irrational. Think about how much more important $ASTS becomes to carrier strategy if $SPCX actually has plans to compete directly in the MNO market? This just turned $ASTS from "cool partnership" to operational necessity for every global carrier.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Medium term
President Trump calls Elon Musk “one of the greatest tech founders” as speculation around a $TSLA and $SPCX merger builds. There are now 62% odds of the two companies merging before 2028.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
Big Telecom in July: “basically not possible because of physics.” 📡
@elonmusk: 🍺
$T $VZ $TMUS $SPCX
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Looking forward to being told that adding to $ASTS after $SPCX validated the low band thesis is the worst decision of my life 🙃
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term Specific
Get my next updates on $SPCX $NVDA $SNDK $TSLA and more on Monday: https://t3live.com/rd (free trading newsletter)
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
📺 IS TODAY'S REBOUND A TRAP? MOMENTUM REMAINS FRAGILE + $SPY TESTS ITS 8-DAY & $QQQ FILLS ITS GAP + DON’T CHASE $SPCX + $MU, $SNDK & $WDC FLASH WARNING SIGNS After yesterday's aggressive tech selloff, triggered by concerns surrounding OpenAI's revenue miss, stocks are bouncing back in today's premarket. But this is not an environment to aggressively chase strength. The major indices are holding up relatively well, while many individual momentum stocks continue to suffer significant technical damage. * The recent pullback in $SPY looks relatively normal after an extended advance toward $781. #SPY tested its 8-day moving average, shook out aggressive momentum traders, and held important support around $770. Now trading near $776.72 in the premarket, it faces immediate resistance at yesterday's $777 high and the $779 area. I doubt SPY can push decisively above that zone today. It could offer a tactical opportunity to reestablish some short exposure. * Similar story in $QQQ. After a strong multi-day rally that left the Nasdaq extended above its 8-day moving average, profit-taking was overdue. Yesterday's selloff brought #QQQ back toward that average, filled the previously identified gap near $743, and tested an important neckline. The action was sloppy, but the broader technical structure hasn't necessarily broken down. Still, a rebound doesn't automatically mean momentum has returned. * $SPCX continues to be one of the few names that is still demonstrates rel
Reasoning: Technicals · Short term Specific
SpaceX Buys Wireless Spectrum For Starlink; Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile Tumble https://www.investors.com/news/spacex-buys-wireless-spectrum-starlink-elon-musk-verizon-att-t-mobile-tumble/
Reasoning: Catalyst
$SPCX smacked $T $VZ $TMUS over night.
Reasoning: Catalyst
⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update ➡️ $NVDA $MU $SPCX $SNDK https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1qGvveaQLWeGB
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Here's how I think about using SI (vs AI): AI has become the umbrella term for nearly everything happening in tech today. That term caught on first. But when you consider what companies like Tesla and SpaceX are ultimately trying to achieve, I think "super intelligence" (SI) is a more accurate description of their ambitions. At first I thought SI was a silly term to use over AI, but after thinking about it, Tesla and SpaceX are trying to create a real super intelligence, and less so an "artificial intelligence." Think about how we describe someone who's exceptionally smart. We say they're "super intelligent." Nobody says they're "artificially intelligent." SI would have been a better term from the beginning. A lot of people will probably still call it AI, but Optimus is not going to be artificially intelligent, it's going to have super intelligence. It'll take some getting used to lol
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. OpenAI told investors its annualized revenue was approaching $50B at the end of September, according to the Financial Times, below the roughly $70B figure that had been widely reported last month. The discrepancy reportedly reflects differences in accounting methods, with Anthropic including revenue generated through cloud partners such as AWS and Google Cloud, while OpenAI does not. Investors had attempted to adjust OpenAI’s figures to make them comparable with Anthropic’s, contributing to the higher estimate. The report weighed on AI infrastructure sentiment, with several semiconductor stocks falling roughly 5–7% as investors reassessed near-term AI spending expectations. OpenAI declined to comment. 2. The September FOMC meeting minutes showed that most Federal Reserve officials expect another interest rate hike by year-end, reinforcing the central bank’s higher-for-longer stance. All 19 Fed officials supported the September rate hike, reflecting unanimous concern that inflation remains above target. The minutes also said almost all policymakers believe inflation risks remain tilted to the upside, with several officials warning that the accelerating AI investment boom could increase demand faster than supply, adding to inflationary pressures. 3. Elon Musk said today that he sees an extraordinary long-term future for $SPCX SpaceX, writing: “This will sound super crazy, but I see a path to SpaceX
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
Elon says he doesn’t want to make a phone. I still think $SPCX eventually will. A vertically integrated handset on a Starlink mobile network could deliver features carriers can’t match, and cheaper service. That’s a bigger problem for Samsung than Apple. $AAPL’s device and services tie-in is harder to break.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term
Starlink is coming for your cell plan. 📡 $SPCX up. $T down. After hours.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
We are about to witness one of the biggest disruptions in the history of the telecom and internet industry. For decades, telecom and internet giants have dominated the industry with limited competition, slow innovation, and increasingly mediocre service. SpaceX, $SPCX, is about to change that. This is a clear wake up call to the current giants of the industry. Evolve or you will be left behind.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Long term Specific
SpaceX Lands 800 MHz Spectrum: Starlink Mobile's Carrier Play Gets Real - while the incumbents stand by and watch. $SPCX $TMUS $T $VZ https://www.basenor.com/blogs/news/spacex-lands-800-mhz-spectrum-starlink-mobiles-carrier-play-gets-real
Reasoning: Catalyst
It took me 6 months to build $60M AUM. @CorgiInvest just mogged that in under a week with their MANGOS ETF $MN 🥭 This concentrated ETF seeks to give investors OpenAI and Anthropic exposure alongside $META, $NVDA, $GOOG, $SPCX
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific
I welcome SpaceX to the U.S. wireless carrier business. Verizon and friends SUCK. "SpaceX announced an agreement to acquire a nationwide low-band spectrum license portfolio of up to 14 megahertz of paired spectrum in the 800 MHz band. This prime low-band spectrum addresses one of the key remaining technical gaps that will pave the way for Starlink Mobile to become a major mobile carrier in the US."
Reasoning: Catalyst
BREAKING: Verizon stock, $VZ, falls -7% on news that SpaceX, $SPCX, is acquiring a spectrum license to become a major mobile carrier in the US.
Reasoning: Catalyst Specific
AT&T CEO: Starlink Mobile won’t be able to penetrate walls. SpaceX: We’ve acquired 800 MHz spectrum, which will allow Starlink Mobile to provide better indoor coverage, including signals that can penetrate walls and other obstacles. People are underestimating Starlink Mobile.
Reasoning: Catalyst · Medium term
Recursive self improvement for your trading. Sidekick writes the rules, tests multiple ideas, refines the strongest, and backtests again. Every version is yours. Every rule is visible. $TSLA $NVDA $SPCX https://trendspider.cc/StrategyBuilder
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
Michael Dell looks like the proud father of a relationship he stands to profit from. $SPCX 🤝 $NVDA
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
President Trump just awarded Elon Musk the National Medal of Science. One of the rarest honors in American science and technology for someone reshaping space, energy and AI through $SPCX and $TSLA.
Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst
"Siri is the one thing Apple put out in the world that never just worked." @dougclinton on our Apple episode of Fathom. $AAPL He's being harsh. Siri is far from perfect, but the new Siri is better than people realize. Apple needs to get the word out. Even more, they need to ship product as fast as $META and $SPCX. That’s the hardest part.
Reasoning: Fundamentals
The OpenAI $50B versus $70B revenue debate is hilarious because real question is how much of every AI dollar OpenAI actually keeps after $MSFT, $AMZN and $GOOGL take their cut. For the AI buildout almost nothing changes because those GPUs, memory, networking and power can shift across Anthropic, $META, $GOOGL, $SPCX and enterprises so aggregate token growth matters way more than one AI lab’s revenue number.
Reasoning: Fundamentals Specific
$AAL is doubling its $SPCX Starlink commitment to its entire 1,030+ mainland fleet with speeds up to 1 Gbps starting in 2027. If the first rollout was strong enough to double the commitment then other airlines have more pressure to match the experience which is how Starlink starts becoming standard for in flight connectivity.
Reasoning: Fundamentals · Long term Specific
American Airlines has just officially announced that it will be installing SpaceX’s @Starlink across its entire mainland fleet of 1,030+ aircraft, up from the previously announced number of 500. Installations will begin in early 2027 and use Starlink's Performance Aero Terminal, which can deliver speeds of up to 1 Gbps per terminal. “Our customers have told us that dependable connectivity can make a meaningful difference in how they spend their time in the air," said American’s Chief Customer Officer Heather Garboden. "Whether they are livestreaming a favorite show, gaming, collaborating in real time on an important work deal, scrolling social media or online shopping, Starlink will give our customers countless options to make the most of their time while traveling. Just as importantly, it provides the foundation for future innovations that will further enhance the customer experience."
Reasoning: Catalyst Specific
📺 A HEALTHY PULLBACK OR SOMETHING MORE SERIOUS? + $TLT THE BIGGEST MACRO PROBLEM + $NVDA NEED TO HOLD 8-DAY + $TSLA IS BUILDING A BULLISH PATTERN + $AMZN / $GOOGL / $SPCX UPDATES The market is getting increasingly complicated. Rising Treasury yields, elevated oil prices, and deteriorating breadth are putting pressure on equities, even as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain relatively resilient. After a strong four-day rally, $SPY and $QQQ became extended and are now pulling back toward their 8-day moving averages. That's not necessarily bearish. A healthy reset would be constructive, but the combination of higher rates, rising oil, and systematic selling is making things sloppier. * The real concern is what's happening beneath the surface. The average momentum stock is estimated to be down 50%–60%, while the average S&P 500 stock is down 17%–18%. More stocks are breaking down, and Big Tech is increasingly carrying the indices. $SPY broke its previous low at $773.61, bringing the 8-day MA into focus. $QQQ is also showing signs of exhaustion, with a potential island-top formation. The $747–$748 area is critical support, followed by a possible gap fill near $745. * $TLT is arguably the biggest problem. Despite a strong Treasury auction on Wednesday, long-duration bonds are making new lows around $76.43–$76.45. That means yields are continuing to rise, creating a major headwind for equities. Another auction today could be important. * $USO is also worth watching. Oil
Reasoning: Technicals Specific
If SpaceX ($SPCX) was in the $SPX now, AI-related stocks would be 51% of the index. With Anthropic and OpenAI coming public, add them to the $SPX in 2027 and AI would be ~55% of the $SPX. The last time a single theme was >50% of the $SPX was the railroads in the 19th century.
Reasoning: Valuation Specific
Society after $SPCX and $TSLA merge
Reasoning: Catalyst · Long term Specific
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. SpaceX $SPCX is reportedly seeking $40B in financing, led by Apollo, to fund a massive purchase of NVIDIA $NVDA AI chips, according to the Financial Times. The proposed financing includes roughly $10B in bank loans and $30B of investment-grade debt, with the transaction expected to close in 2027. Elon Musk said in August that SpaceX had “decided to build exclusively on NVIDIA,” specifically highlighting the company's Vera Rubin architecture as SpaceX accelerates investment in AI compute and data center infrastructure. 2. AMD $AMD CEO Lisa Su said AI compute demand continues to outpace supply and expects strong demand to persist for the next several years, with AMD planning to substantially increase supply in 2027. Su said AMD has already expanded supply this year but “could definitely use more,” thanking TSMC for bringing additional manufacturing capacity online while noting that memory remains broadly supply constrained. She added that AMD is working closely with memory suppliers and customers to ensure capacity ramps in sync while keeping its current business model unchanged. Su also described Taiwan as “very critical” to AMD, saying the company plans to increase its investment there while continuing to explore new packaging technologies. 3. Uber $UBER is acquiring ezCater for $2.3B in cash, expanding Uber Eats into the workplace catering market. ezCater has more than 140,000 restaurant partners
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Reasoning: Catalyst · Short term
GOOD MORNING. Bond Yields are down. Oil hit a 2-week low. Nvidia is at an all time high. The S&P just passed an time high in the pre-markets after adding $500B of marketcap yesterday and now being worth over $70T of marketcap in total. This is all happening in the midst of some of the worst breadth underneath the index with most sectors like financials and consumer discretionary not really participating. Even many semiconductor names, like the memory stocks, are not fully participating or back to their ATHs. Tech is the story, particularly large cap tech like $TSM $NVDA $META $GOOGL $SPCX $AMD $AVGO $MSFT, and we are seeing those names bring the index to record highs. If we are seeing these levels on the index with Oil still up massively on the year and Yields still at the highest in 3 years, the question becomes if the market has this wrong and this is a bull trap or if the market is front-running the inevitable decline in yields and oil, which would also imply the chances for a Fed hike will come down substantially. If it is the latter, things can get really, really fun.
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Reasoning: Macro · Short term Specific
Fund flows or trade records mentioned in posts reflect only the account’s own claims, are marked “Per the post” and are unverified.