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What the street is doing, not what I think

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TNX

CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T Note債息,不是個股Partly aligned
Close 5.08 (2026-10-15, ^TNX)28 days +2.7%1Y +25.6%28 d mentions 3

Stance mix of tracked accounts 2 accounts mentioned it · latest post counts

BullishNeutralNo stanceBearish
Bullish
0
Neutral
1
No stance
0
Bearish
1
Accounts BullNeuBearNone
@ripster47Views ›0100
@Jake__WujastykViews ›0020

Consensus and splits Reasons (analyst tagged) and views from the past 14 days

Bull case
  • none
Bear case
  • 2Technicals
  • @Jake__Wujastyk: $TNX (Chart 1) RSI readings this high on the weekly candle chart have have tanked interest rates over the last 5 years. The market ripped to the upside in all three of these instances $SPY (Chart 2).
  • @Jake__Wujastyk: $TNX Rates could really tank hard here. The question is, does it take the market with it.

Partly aligned. No clearly opposing views so far.

Current views Each account’s latest stance and reasoning; change is vs that account’s previous call
Bearish First call
Technicals · $TNX (Chart 1) RSI readings this high on the weekly candle chart have have tanked interest rates over the last 5 years. The market ripped to the upside in all three of these instances $SPY (Chart 2).
2026-10-10 06:00 HKT Original post ↗
Neutral First call
Catalyst · $TLT Bonds on bounce and $TNX yields dropping since Open AI news Some rotation in banks & biotech
2026-10-09 01:30 HKT Original post ↗
Background How the narrative evolved over time, for context on current views

By week Last 4 weeks

  • 10/10–10/16 · 1 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 1
    @Jake__Wujastyk: $TNX (Chart 1) RSI readings this high on the weekly candle chart have have tanked interest rates over the last 5 years. The market ripped to the upside in all three of these instances $SPY (Chart 2). (Bearish)
  • 10/3–10/9 · 2 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 1
    @Jake__Wujastyk: $TNX Rates could really tank hard here. The question is, does it take the market with it. (Bearish)
  • 9/26–10/2 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0
    No discussion
  • 9/19–9/25 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0
    No discussion

Key views and how they evolved Newest first

TNX Bearish2026-10-10 06:00 HKTOriginal post ↗

$TNX (Chart 1) RSI readings this high on the weekly candle chart have have tanked interest rates over the last 5 years. The market ripped to the upside in all three of these instances $SPY (Chart 2).

Image 1 ↗ Image 2 ↗

Reasoning: Technicals Specific

TNX Bearish2026-10-09 06:11 HKTOriginal post ↗

$TNX Rates could really tank hard here. The question is, does it take the market with it.

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Technicals · Short term

TNX Neutral2026-10-09 01:30 HKTOriginal post ↗

$TLT Bonds on bounce and $TNX yields dropping since Open AI news Some rotation in banks & biotech

Reasoning: Catalyst

Fund flows or trade records mentioned in posts reflect only the account’s own claims, are marked “Per the post” and are unverified.

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