Bullish First call
Fundamentals · Long term · Citi projects the agentic CPU TAM to rise 14X over the next four years, from $11.6 billion in 2026 to $157.4 billion by 2030, accounting for more than half of the total CPU TAM. $NVDA $AMD $ARM $INTC
Neutral First call
Fundamentals · $LITE showing ecosystem forming around near-package optics. Open CPX founders include Ciena $CIEN, Coherent $COHR and Marvell $MRVL, alongside others. Publicly traded contributors: Credo $CRDO, Intel $INTC, MaxLinear $MXL, Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI, Astera Labs $ALAB, Amphenol $APH, Keysight $KEYS, TE Connectivity $TEL, VIAVI $VIAV, Lumentum $LITE.
Bullish First call
Technicals · Short term ·
@ripster47 highlights long setups traders in the community are banking on in $SPY $QQQ $SOXL, citing repeatable concepts and clouds. He notes $MU $CRDO $NBIS $INTC $AMD showing many curls with the market and urges watching when the market is moving rather than trading blind.
Neutral weakened (was Bullish)
Basis not tagged · Intel turning
Bullish First call
Fundamentals · Medium term · (Reposted by
@firstadopter)
I@illyquid cites The Standard in Hong Kong: Intel and Broadcom chiefs say chip demand is still strong and OpenAI is not overvalued.
Bullish strengthened (was Neutral)
Fundamentals · Medium term ·
@aleabitoreddit reviews DBS conference material: $AVGO and $INTC stated AI breakthroughs will keep chip investment demand elevated for at least another 2 years as supply is insufficient. $AVGO CEO Hock Tan expects shortage to worsen, defends OpenAI valuations and $50B ARR as not that bad, says sellers on short-term data are like casino gamblers, and notes frontier labs' adoption would strengthen capital raising against rising rates. Media cherry-picked quotes; overall nuanced bullish on AI semi demand.
Bullish First call
Catalyst · Medium term ·
@michaelsikand says $INTC is coming for the GPU market: its new D-Series chips are built for AI inference, and $DELL, $HPE, $SMCI and ASUS are lined up to sell them.
Neutral First call
Valuation · Price to Sales Ratio (TTM Sales) lists SpaceX at 103, Palantir at 87, CrowdStrike at 52, AMD at 24, Broadcom at 20, NVIDIA at 19, Applied Materials at 13, Tesla at 13, Microsoft at 12, Apple at 11, Google at 10, Micron at 9, Intel at 9, Meta at 8, Cisco at 7, Netflix at 6, Oracle at 6, Amazon at 4, and S&P 500 at 3.5.
Neutral First call
Macro · AI stocks are driving the entire stock market.
The "AI Winners Index" is up +58% year-to-date, nearly matching its record set in June.
The index covers semiconductors, memory, data centers, networking, power, and AI application companies.
At the same time, the S&P 500 Ex-AI Enablers Index has increased just +5%, underperforming by 53 percentage points.
Meanwhile, the semiconductor index is up +78% over the same period, with Micron, $MU, Marvell, $MRVL, Intel, $INTC, AMD, $AMD up +263%, +224%, +190 %, and +190%, respectively.
By comparison, the S&P 500 index is up +13% while the Nasdaq 100 is up +22% so far in 2026.
The AI trade is leaving the rest of the market far behind.
Neutral First call
Technicals · $INTC Back down to the S/R flip zone.
Neutral First call
Catalyst · Short term · A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.
Here's a full recap:
1. SpaceX $SPCX is reportedly seeking $40B in financing, led by Apollo, to fund a massive purchase of NVIDIA $NVDA AI chips, according to the Financial Times. The proposed financing includes roughly $10B in bank loans and $30B of investment-grade debt, with the transaction expected to close in 2027. Elon Musk said in August that SpaceX had “decided to build exclusively on NVIDIA,” specifically highlighting the company's Vera Rubin architecture as SpaceX accelerates investment in AI compute and data center infrastructure.
2. AMD $AMD CEO Lisa Su said AI compute demand continues to outpace supply and expects strong demand to persist for the next several years, with AMD planning to substantially increase supply in 2027. Su said AMD has already expanded supply this year but “could definitely use more,” thanking TSMC for bringing additional manufacturing capacity online while noting that memory remains broadly supply constrained. She added that AMD is working closely with memory suppliers and customers to ensure capacity ramps in sync while keeping its current business model unchanged. Su also described Taiwan as “very critical” to AMD, saying the company plans to increase its investment there while continuing to explore new packaging technologies.
3. Uber $UBER is acquiring ezCater for $2.3B in cash, expanding Uber Eats into the workplace catering market. ezCater has more than 140,000 restaurant partners