Neutral First call
Macro · Clearly a macro related drop after CPI numbers came out today and further US rate hike anticipation. Since $KOSPI, $SPY, and Nikkei ended up plummeting. Too many potential second/third order effects if $CRWV goes down or frontier labs struggle. Rate hikes amplify fears but sold-off presents opportunities. $LITE has take/pay contracts + sold out until 2029 for lasers, financed by hyperscalers for 2031 demand. Demand visibility + financing (counterparties like $MSFT or $AMZN) too solid to bunch with others in optical sector that have cash. Neocloud requires billions in future toxic financing in high rate environments. Markets will eventually distinguish nuances from actual profitability, financing, and long term demand sustainability rather than treating everything as one bubble.
Bullish strengthened (was Neutral)
Technicals · Short term ·
@Mr_Derivatives: AAPL, MSFT and META are near all time highs and NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL and TSLA are holding up, about 40% of the S&P 500 weight, so the other ~493 stocks matter less.
Bullish strengthened (was Neutral) 7d: strengthened
Fundamentals · Long term · BofA sees global AI data center capacity growing ~5x to 219 GW by 2030: $AMZN +42 GW, $GOOGL +27 GW, $MSFT +24 GW, $SPCX +24 GW, $META +18 GW, $ORCL +12 GW, $CRWV +7 GW, $NBIS +5 GW, $IREN +3 GW. Neoclouds ~40% of new capacity in 2030.
Neutral First call
Technicals · Visa $V, Procter $PG, and Microsoft $MSFT enter today as the 3 most "overbought" Dow stocks, while 8 of 30 are oversold. $CAT 10% move lower into oversold territory over the last week.
Neutral First call
Technicals · Just 10 stocks have driven 70% of the S&P 500’s gain since March 30th, adding +16 percentage points to the index’s +23% gain. $NVDA contributed the most (13% of gain, +3 pp), followed by $MU, $AAPL and $MSFT (each 9%, +2 pp), $AMD 8% and $GOOGL 7%. Remaining 490 stocks accounted for just 30% (+7 pp). Diversification is dead.
Bullish First call
Sentiment · Medium term ·
@jimcramer: dozens told us to sell Microsoft, now they want in?
Neutral First call
Technicals · $MSFT This has been a safe haven for weeks. Potential shooting star formation and pullback if we get hard rotation back into semi's and high beta names.
Bullish First call
Fundamentals · Medium term ·
@Schuldensuehner: $MSFT hit its first record in a year at $543.45, up 54% from June's low, as AI spending fears gave way to the fastest cloud growth in 4 years. Still, MSFT is up only 12% in 2026 versus the Nasdaq 100's 21%.
Neutral First call
Basis not tagged · Broadcom $AVGO is in early talks to arrange more than $50 billion in financing to help OpenAI fund custom silicon purchases, following reports of the up to $60 billion package for Anthropic from earlier this month. Mentions $GOOG $MSFT $NVDA.
No stance
Basis not tagged ·
@michaelsikand has arrived at the Open Compute Project 2026 conference with
@KawzInvests, where companies like $AMD, $MSFT, $NVDA, $CRDO and $LITE show how they are building next-generation data centers. No new market view.
Neutral First call
Valuation · Price to Sales Ratio (TTM Sales) lists SpaceX at 103, Palantir at 87, CrowdStrike at 52, AMD at 24, Broadcom at 20, NVIDIA at 19, Applied Materials at 13, Tesla at 13, Microsoft at 12, Apple at 11, Google at 10, Micron at 9, Intel at 9, Meta at 8, Cisco at 7, Netflix at 6, Oracle at 6, Amazon at 4, and S&P 500 at 3.5.
Bullish First call
Technicals · Short term · Use This Unconventional Add-On Entry To Add To Breakouts In Microsoft, Palantir Technologies https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/dow-jones-microsoft-stock-msft-palantir-pltr-shelf-entry/
Neutral First call
Basis not tagged · Introducing Microsoft-Decision-1, our new model for fast decision-making.
It delivers top performance on structured decision tasks, outperforming both LLMs and other decision models in latency and quality.
We’re already testing it across Microsoft for everything from incident response and quality control to scientific discovery.
Neutral First call
Valuation · （
@carlquintanilla 轉發）標普五大股 $NVDA $AAPL $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN 市值等於最小 434 檔股票的總和，集中度史上最高。
No stance
Basis not tagged · 沒有文字，引用 FinanceLancelot：特朗普頒發國家科學獎章與科技創新獎章給 Sergey Brin（$GOOG）、Jensen Huang（$NVDA）、Elon Musk（$SPCX）、Lisa Su（$AMD）、Michael Dell（$DELL）、Satya Nadella（$MSFT）。
No stance
Basis not tagged · For the newbs out there. OpenAI pays Microsoft a revenue share (reportedly 20%) through 2030. That accounts for the vast majority of the difference between gross and net revenue.
One could argue that gross revenue is the better KPI for measuring the AI model business performance as this rev share will expire.
This should not be new news for anyone covering this company. But, alas.
Neutral First call
Catalyst · 他說 FT 報導 OpenAI 收入低於之前所說，令 Oracle 跌超過 5%，Nvidia、AMD 到 Microsoft 都下跌，證明整個科技板塊對 OpenAI 與 Anthropic 槓桿很大。標 $ORCL $NVDA $AMD $MSFT 中性。
No stance
Macro · In 2025 just five companies (Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle) were responsible for 37 percent of the global capex of the top 100 U.S.-listed nonfinancial companies.
The last time investment was that concentrated was the early 1970s, when AT&T reigned supreme.
Bullish First call
Catalyst · Long term · This is way bigger than people realize. AI enabled laptops will be the norm. Must run native models for safety. $NVDA $MSFT
Bullish First call
Catalyst · Medium term · Awesome day,
@satyanadella!
Windows sparked a platform shift that created a new industry for NVIDIA. Then we invented programmable shading GPUs for DirectX, which led to CUDA.
Then we partnered to bring GPU supercomputers to Azure, which helped OpenAI train GPT. That collaboration inspired us to reinvent Windows for the age of personal agents.
4 years. Thousands of engineering years between us.
So proud of what we built together.
Neutral First call
Catalyst · Short term · A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.
Here's a full recap:
1. SpaceX $SPCX is reportedly seeking $40B in financing, led by Apollo, to fund a massive purchase of NVIDIA $NVDA AI chips, according to the Financial Times. The proposed financing includes roughly $10B in bank loans and $30B of investment-grade debt, with the transaction expected to close in 2027. Elon Musk said in August that SpaceX had “decided to build exclusively on NVIDIA,” specifically highlighting the company's Vera Rubin architecture as SpaceX accelerates investment in AI compute and data center infrastructure.
2. AMD $AMD CEO Lisa Su said AI compute demand continues to outpace supply and expects strong demand to persist for the next several years, with AMD planning to substantially increase supply in 2027. Su said AMD has already expanded supply this year but “could definitely use more,” thanking TSMC for bringing additional manufacturing capacity online while noting that memory remains broadly supply constrained. She added that AMD is working closely with memory suppliers and customers to ensure capacity ramps in sync while keeping its current business model unchanged. Su also described Taiwan as “very critical” to AMD, saying the company plans to increase its investment there while continuing to explore new packaging technologies.
3. Uber $UBER is acquiring ezCater for $2.3B in cash, expanding Uber Eats into the workplace catering market. ezCater has more than 140,000 restaurant partners
@amitisinvesting
@KobeissiLetter
@JensenHuang
@StockSavvyShay
@GerberKawasaki
@jasonfurman
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@firstadopter
@jam_croissant
@IBDinvestors
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