The Crowd Tape

What the street is doing, not what I think

What top X accounts are doing, not what I think

← Back to dashboard

SMH

VanEck Semiconductor ETFETFPartly aligned
Close 552.33 (2026-10-15)28 days -1.5%1Y +61.6%28 d mentions 16

Stance mix of tracked accounts 7 accounts mentioned it · latest post counts

BullishNeutralNo stanceBearish
Bullish
0
Neutral
5
No stance
0
Bearish
2

Consensus and splits Reasons (analyst tagged) and views from the past 14 days

Bull case
  • 1Technicals
  • @Mr_Derivatives: $SOXX $SMH Back by popular demand... The Trampoline™️ Bulls gotta bounce here. Cmon.
Bear case
  • 1Macro
  • 1Sentiment
  • 1Technicals
  • @Mr_Derivatives: $SKHY currently implying a 9th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SOXX currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SMH currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow.
  • @amitisinvesting: @amitisinvesting: per the FT, Anthropic Q3 revenue was $16.8B vs $11.5B in Q2, up 46% QoQ; Nasdaq futures are hammered after hours and semis keep sliding as Wall Street is unimpressed.
  • @amitisinvesting: @amitisinvesting says yields are down nicely as bond markets open, but likely because semis fell hard overnight, with $SMH down another 2% and Korea's KOSPI, essentially two memory names, hitting a limit-down halt. Their read is that the credit market is signaling the AI trade needs to fall further for bond buying to push yields lower.

Partly aligned. No clearly opposing views so far.

Current views Each account’s latest stance and reasoning; change is vs that account’s previous call
Neutral First call
Macro · Beth Kindig believes this bull market has considerably more room to run. However, before the next leg higher begins, a correction is expected that will shake many investors out of the trade, and the main AI proxy $SMH appears to be confirming this view. Mentions $SPY $QQQ.
2026-10-16 01:13 HKT Original post ↗
Bearish reversed (was Bullish)
Technicals · Short term · $SKHY currently implying a 9th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SOXX currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SMH currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow.
2026-10-15 07:20 HKT Original post ↗
Bearish weakened (was Neutral)
Sentiment · Short term · @amitisinvesting: per the FT, Anthropic Q3 revenue was $16.8B vs $11.5B in Q2, up 46% QoQ; Nasdaq futures are hammered after hours and semis keep sliding as Wall Street is unimpressed.
2026-10-15 06:54 HKT Original post ↗
Brian Shannon, CMT @alphatrendsViews ›
Neutral First call
Basis not tagged · Daily end-of-day video promo for X subscribers covering $SPY $QQQ $IWM $SMH $TLT Bitcoin $GLD $XLF $XLE.
2026-10-15 04:23 HKT Original post ↗
Neutral First call
Basis not tagged · During the Dot Com Bust from peak March 2000 to trough October 2002, the Philly Sox semis index fell 83%. In between there were thirty-one 10%+ rallies that averaged a gain of 21.4%. $SOXX $SMH
2026-10-15 02:04 HKT Original post ↗
Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanillaViews ›
Neutral First call
Technicals · (Reposted by @carlquintanilla) @Mr_Derivatives asks what to do with $SOXX and $SMH, without stating a clear direction.
2026-10-14 01:31 HKT Original post ↗
Neutral First call
Sentiment · The OpenAI Revenue issue seems to have led to a fade in call skews (from right to left). $SMH also is off 7% in 3 days...
2026-10-09 21:20 HKT Original post ↗
Background How the narrative evolved over time, for context on current views

By week Last 4 weeks

  • 10/10–10/16 · 15 posts · Bull 1 / Bear 3
    @Mr_Derivatives: $SKHY currently implying a 9th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SOXX currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SMH currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow. (Bearish)
  • 10/3–10/9 · 1 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0
    @spotgamma: The OpenAI Revenue issue seems to have led to a fade in call skews (from right to left). $SMH also is off 7% in 3 days... (Neutral)
  • 9/26–10/2 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0
    No discussion
  • 9/19–9/25 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0
    No discussion

Key views and how they evolved Newest first

SMH ETF Neutral2026-10-16 01:13 HKTOriginal post ↗

Beth Kindig believes this bull market has considerably more room to run. However, before the next leg higher begins, a correction is expected that will shake many investors out of the trade, and the main AI proxy $SMH appears to be confirming this view. Mentions $SPY $QQQ.

See original

We believe this bull market has considerably more room to run. However, before the next leg higher begins, we expect a correction that will shake many investors out of the trade – and the main AI proxy, $SMH, appears to be confirming this view. https://io-fund.com/broad-market/the-greatest-bull-market-in-decades-correction-first $SPY $QQQ

Reasoning: Macro

SMH ETF Bearish reversed2026-10-15 07:20 HKTOriginal post ↗

$SKHY currently implying a 9th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SOXX currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SMH currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow.

See original

$SKHY currently implying a 9th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SOXX currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow. $SMH currently implying a 8th consecutive red day for tomorrow. Eeeeek.

Reasoning: Technicals · Short term

SMH ETF Bearish weakened2026-10-15 06:54 HKTOriginal post ↗

@amitisinvesting: per the FT, Anthropic Q3 revenue was $16.8B vs $11.5B in Q2, up 46% QoQ; Nasdaq futures are hammered after hours and semis keep sliding as Wall Street is unimpressed.

See original

FINANCIAL TIMES: - ANTHROPIC Q3 REVENUE COMES IN AT $16.8B - Q2 REVENUE WAS $11.5B, REVENUE GREW 46% QoQ Well, Nasdaq Futures are getting hammered after hours and the Semis continue their downslide because it seems like Wall Street is not impressed…especially if these are the numbers for a $2T IPO.

Reasoning: Sentiment · Short term

SMH ETF Neutral2026-10-15 04:23 HKTOriginal post ↗

Daily end-of-day video promo for X subscribers covering $SPY $QQQ $IWM $SMH $TLT Bitcoin $GLD $XLF $XLE.

See original

I do an end of day video like this (and a lot more) every day for X subscribers for just $10/month $SPY $QQQ $IWM $SMH $TLT #Bitcoin $GLD #GC_F $XLF $XLE https://x.com/alphatrends/creator-subscriptions/subscribe

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst

SMH ETF Neutral strengthened2026-10-15 03:39 HKTOriginal post ↗

@amitisinvesting: hyperscalers cutting capex would mean less bond issuance competing with Treasuries but also lower semi stocks; in practice big tech wants to spend more on capex.

See original

basically. hyperscalers pulling back on capex means less bond issuance which is less competition with treasuries that also means less capex = semi stocks go down now…my theory academically might make sense but practically, we know that big tech wants to spend more on capex but its like the bond market wants them to spend less so the issuances stop getting so competitive which can finally allow them to buy a bond at 5.2% and not compete with meta’s bonds at 7% all pointing to semis needing to go down for bonds to go up…but if that doesnt happen, bonds will go down, yields will go up, and at what yield does the stock market in general say enough is enough…aka can we handle 6% yields on a 10yr only way to have some relief is for oil to come down but thats based on the war

Reasoning: Macro

SMH ETF Bullish2026-10-15 02:46 HKTOriginal post ↗

$SOXX $SMH Back by popular demand... The Trampoline™️ Bulls gotta bounce here. Cmon.

See original

$SOXX $SMH Back by popular demand... The Trampoline™️ Bulls gotta bounce here. Cmon.

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Technicals · Short term

No-stance mentions (1)
SMH ETF No stance↻ Repost of @alphatrends2026-10-10 04:36 HKTOriginal post ↗

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending 10/9/26 $SPY $QQQ $IWM $SMH $XBI $MU $NVDA $XLF $TLT #Bitcoin $ALAB $NKE $MAGS

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst Specific

Fund flows or trade records mentioned in posts reflect only the account’s own claims, are marked “Per the post” and are unverified.

Open the interactive page (with chart)