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ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.Small cap (market cap < $50B)Partly aligned
Close 43.78 (2026-10-15)28 days -30.2%1Y -54.2%28 d mentions 20

Stance mix of tracked accounts 6 accounts mentioned it · latest post counts

BullishNeutralNo stanceBearish
Bullish
3
Neutral
2
No stance
0
Bearish
1

Consensus and splits Reasons (analyst tagged) and views from the past 14 days

Bull case
  • 3Fundamentals
  • 2Catalyst
  • 2Valuation
  • 1Basis not tagged
  • 1Sentiment
  • @StockSavvyShay: $ASTS is projected to grow revenue from ~$166M in 2026 to ~$1.8B by 2028 and ~$5B by 2031, yet trades at just ~13x estimated 2028 EBITDA. Compared to $RKLB acquiring $IRDM at ~16x 2026 EBITDA, suggesting potential rerating if launches scale and partnerships convert to revenue.
  • @ripster47: Went shopping today at Tenet Research. $SKHY (double size) $MU $AEHR $ASTS $NBIS. $CRDO went too fast. All positions green now, if CPI dumps us back have some buffer. Hopefully CPI Gods will have mercy and we get back. Big Day tmro.
  • @michaelsikand: @michaelsikand doubles down with "It's that simple," quoting his post that the $ASTS selloff is irrational: if $SPCX plans to compete directly in the mobile carrier market, $ASTS shifts from a cool partnership to an operational necessity for every global carrier.
Bear case
  • 1Technicals
  • @RedDogT3: @RedDogT3: $ASTS is a big lesson on the 8/21 day averages; don't keep failed trades or names below them in an active swing account.

Partly aligned. Accounts are on both sides; see the two columns above for where they differ.

Current views Each account’s latest stance and reasoning; change is vs that account’s previous call
Scott Redler @RedDogT3Views ›
Bearish First call
Technicals · Short term · @RedDogT3: $ASTS is a big lesson on the 8/21 day averages; don't keep failed trades or names below them in an active swing account.
2026-10-15 20:38 HKT Original post ↗
Neutral weakened (was Bullish)
Basis not tagged · $ASTS and $RKLB investors this week.
2026-10-15 09:37 HKT Original post ↗
Bullish strengthened (was Neutral) 7d: strengthened
Valuation · Medium term · $ASTS is projected to grow revenue from ~$166M in 2026 to ~$1.8B by 2028 and ~$5B by 2031, yet trades at just ~13x estimated 2028 EBITDA. Compared to $RKLB acquiring $IRDM at ~16x 2026 EBITDA, suggesting potential rerating if launches scale and partnerships convert to revenue.
2026-10-15 03:44 HKT Original post ↗
Bullish First call
Catalyst · Short term · Went shopping today at Tenet Research. $SKHY (double size) $MU $AEHR $ASTS $NBIS. $CRDO went too fast. All positions green now, if CPI dumps us back have some buffer. Hopefully CPI Gods will have mercy and we get back. Big Day tmro.
2026-10-14 04:19 HKT Original post ↗
Neutral First call
Technicals · @Jake__Wujastyk says nothing has really broken for $ASTS yet.
2026-10-12 07:06 HKT Original post ↗
Bullish First call
Sentiment · Medium term · “We have SpaceX at home.” SpaceX at home: $ASTS.
2026-10-12 03:55 HKT Original post ↗
Background How the narrative evolved over time, for context on current views

By week Last 4 weeks

  • 10/10–10/16 · 16 posts · Bull 7 / Bear 1
    @michaelsikand: $ASTS and $RKLB investors this week. (Neutral)
  • 10/3–10/9 · 4 posts · Bull 2 / Bear 0
    @StockSavvyShay: $ASTS JUST BROKE BELOW $50 😳 (Neutral)
  • 9/26–10/2 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0
    No discussion
  • 9/19–9/25 · 0 posts · Bull 0 / Bear 0
    No discussion

Key views and how they evolved Newest first

ASTS Small cap Bearish2026-10-15 20:38 HKTOriginal post ↗

@RedDogT3: $ASTS is a big lesson on the 8/21 day averages; don't keep failed trades or names below them in an active swing account.

See original

$asts is a huge lesson on the 8/21day. Don’t turn your active swing account into a cesspool of failed trades. Or names below the 8/21day

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Technicals · Short term

ASTS Small cap Neutral weakened2026-10-15 09:37 HKTOriginal post ↗

$ASTS and $RKLB investors this week.

See original

$ASTS and $RKLB investors this week.

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst

ASTS Small cap Bullish strengthened2026-10-15 03:44 HKTOriginal post ↗

$ASTS is projected to grow revenue from ~$166M in 2026 to ~$1.8B by 2028 and ~$5B by 2031, yet trades at just ~13x estimated 2028 EBITDA. Compared to $RKLB acquiring $IRDM at ~16x 2026 EBITDA, suggesting potential rerating if launches scale and partnerships convert to revenue.

See original

$ASTS is projected to grow revenue from ~$166M in 2026 to ~$1.8B by 2028 and ~$5B by 2031 yet trades at just ~13x estimated 2028 EBITDA. Keep in mind $RKLB agreed to acquire more mature $IRDM at ~16x 2026 EBITDA so if BlueBird launches scale and AST starts turning its global carrier partnerships into recurring revenue should cause a pretty big rerating.

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Valuation · Medium term Specific

ASTS Small cap Neutral weakened2026-10-14 22:20 HKTOriginal post ↗

@StockSavvyShay: $ASTS just pulled back to its 200-week EMA for the first time in over two years.

See original

$ASTS just pulled back to its 200-week EMA for the first time in over two years 👀

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Technicals

ASTS Small cap Bullish2026-10-14 04:19 HKTOriginal post ↗

Went shopping today at Tenet Research. $SKHY (double size) $MU $AEHR $ASTS $NBIS. $CRDO went too fast. All positions green now, if CPI dumps us back have some buffer. Hopefully CPI Gods will have mercy and we get back. Big Day tmro.

See original

💡 Went Shopping today at Tenet Research $SKHY(double size) $MU $AEHR $ASTS $NBIS $CRDO went too fast All positions green now, if CPI dumps us back have some buffer Hopefully CPI Gods will have mercy and we get back Big Day tmro

Reasoning: Catalyst · Short term Specific

ASTS Small cap Bullish2026-10-12 21:46 HKTOriginal post ↗

@michaelsikand doubles down with "It's that simple," quoting his post that the $ASTS selloff is irrational: if $SPCX plans to compete directly in the mobile carrier market, $ASTS shifts from a cool partnership to an operational necessity for every global carrier.

See original

It's that simple.

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Fundamentals · Medium term

No-stance mentions (2)
ASTS Small cap No stance↻ Repost of @TENETTRADEGROUP2026-10-13 20:45 HKTOriginal post ↗

(Reposted by @ripster47) @TENETTRADEGROUP posts its Market Wake-Up Summary for Oct 13, listing the names it is watching: $SPX $SNDX $NVTS $NVDA $AMAT $GOOGL $PL $CRDO $INTC $TSM $S $OKLO $META $QBTS $NFLX $CIFR $FRMI $AMD $BNTX $DPZ $ACI $UNH $JPM $GS $C $GLXY $GEMI $HUN $SOFI $OLN $LYB $ADBE $ASTS $EFXT $SPIR $FUN and bitcoin. The post itself gives no view on any of them.

See original

Tenet Market Wake-Up Summary 📷📷 October.13.26 $SPX $SNDX $NVTS $NVDA $AMAT $GOOGL $PL $CRDO $INTC $TSM $S $OKLO $META $QBTS $NFLX $CIFR $FRMI $AMD $BNTX $DPZ $ACI $UNH $JPM $GS $C $GLXY $GEMI $HUN $SOFI $OLN $LYB $ADBE $ASTS $EFXT $SPIR $FUN bitcoin:native @ripster47 | @tenet_research | @TenetCharts

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst

ASTS Small cap No stance↻ Repost of @TENETTRADEGROUP2026-10-08 20:40 HKTOriginal post ↗

(@ripster47 轉發)Tenet 10月8日早晨市場摘要,列出 $SPX $AVGO $ORCL $SPCX $AMZN $GOOGL $MU $PLTR 等一長串股票,沒有具體觀點。

Image 1 ↗

Reasoning: Not tagged by analyst

Fund flows or trade records mentioned in posts reflect only the account’s own claims, are marked “Per the post” and are unverified.

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